Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VR170

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VR170   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:41 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     39 observations of     39
# Arc:   2.27y
# First observation: 2015/09/07
#  Last observation: 2017/12/13
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000091   0.022091   0.000000   0.000621   0.023205   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.32 DOF:     72 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.23    0.22
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.490155E-05  2.194354E-02  5.469583E-07  6.180266E-04  2.316622E-02  1.320462E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.8563E-13 -3.2608E-14 -5.4279E-16  2.3107E-15  1.2463E-13  2.0376E-12
 -3.2608E-14  2.2761E-13 -1.6569E-15  6.6924E-15  1.2987E-13  5.8553E-12
 -5.4279E-16 -1.6569E-15  9.9779E-14 -7.8629E-14 -1.6143E-15 -7.5201E-14
  2.3107E-15  6.6924E-15 -7.8629E-14  9.8892E-14  6.6539E-15  3.0366E-13
  1.2463E-13  1.2987E-13 -1.6143E-15  6.6539E-15  2.1910E-13  5.8396E-12
  2.0376E-12  5.8553E-12 -7.5201E-14  3.0366E-13  5.8396E-12  2.6567E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -0.073666   51.771464    0.932142   -0.000355   -0.391580  2457273.129809
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457270.5000  =  2015/09/05
Mean Anomaly:           99.80349 +/-     0.316
Argument of Peri:      253.43027 +/-     0.308
Long of Asc Node:       53.13891 +/-     0.001
Inclination:             1.61426 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.03722615 +/-    0.0007
Semi-Major Axis:     43.23322545 +/-    0.0035
Time of Perihelion: 2428485.3762 +/-      91.2
Perihelion:          41.62381891 +/-    0.0308
Aphelion:            44.84263199 +/-    0.0308
Period (y)              284.2724 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           27.68174785 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Y           33.63977107 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic Z           -0.05546799 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00194244 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00172101 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00007289 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.56508279 +/-    0.0006
Geocenter to KBO     43.16630464 +/-    0.0009
# Hcoef:  8.47

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VR170. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VR170) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 09  07.62902  03 17 29.148  +18 08 13.92  25.1w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 09  12.49264  03 17 21.441  +18 07 45.71  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 10  07.53854  03 16 11.845  +18 03 25.76  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 10  07.59790  03 16 11.624  +18 03 25.03  24.8w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 10  09.57780  03 16 04.247  +18 02 57.17  25.2w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  07.33264  03 13 57.508  +17 54 55.28  24.9r 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  07.37479  03 13 57.297  +17 54 54.57  24.8r 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  07.41697  03 13 57.085  +17 54 53.67  24.8r 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  10.49950  03 13 42.187  +17 53 56.75  25.1w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  17.34635  03 13 09.038  +17 51 49.42  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 11  17.39294  03 13 08.814  +17 51 48.53  24.9w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 12  06.35508  03 11 40.542  +17 46 08.68  24.9w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2015 12  06.49265  03 11 39.911  +17 46 06.34  25.2w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 01  01.34294  03 10 05.364  +17 40 01.96  25.1w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 01  07.40549  03 09 49.892  +17 39 03.06  25.6w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 01  08.25043  03 09 47.991  +17 38 55.63  25.2w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 02  05.28189  03 09 21.153  +17 37 20.88  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 02  10.30227  03 09 24.227  +17 37 35.47  25.4w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 09  07.57363  03 22 32.440  +18 29 28.25        15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 09  27.51061  03 21 49.176  +18 26 53.58  25.1w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 09  29.48481  03 21 43.196  +18 26 32.16  24.7w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 10  05.48792  03 21 23.281  +18 25 19.67  26.1w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 10  07.49247  03 21 16.102  +18 24 53.52  24.6w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 10  07.58817  03 21 15.743  +18 24 52.24  25.2w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 10  09.49252  03 21 08.699  +18 24 26.55  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 10  09.56525  03 21 08.423  +18 24 25.45  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 11  02.53154  03 19 24.634  +18 18 03.58  25.2w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 11  02.53733  03 19 24.602  +18 18 03.48  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 11  04.40663  03 19 15.720  +18 17 30.52  24.7w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 11  04.41248  03 19 15.692  +18 17 30.44  24.8w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 12  24.30698  03 15 32.961  +18 03 37.63  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2016 12  24.32550  03 15 32.886  +18 03 37.42  24.9w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 01  02.40920  03 15 04.706  +18 01 51.89  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 01  02.42780  03 15 04.650  +18 01 51.78  25.8w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 01  26.34230  03 14 23.313  +17 59 20.57  23.6w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 01  27.27995  03 14 22.770  +17 59 18.95  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 09  15.58856  03 27 24.889  +18 49 30.62  25.0w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 09  22.57478  03 27 09.559  +18 48 37.86  25.3w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      
2017 12  13.42791  03 21 21.771  +18 27 51.54  24.6w 15VR170   568  C~2nw6      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0133   -113.42    -0.10       1.22    -0.02
     3   0.0819  -1139.21     0.02       8.15    -0.04
     4   0.0821  -1142.45     0.07       8.27     0.05
     5   0.0875  -1251.28    -0.05       8.81     0.01
     6   0.1662  -3122.81     0.17      17.97     0.03
     7   0.1663  -3125.91     0.11      18.08     0.11
     8   0.1664  -3129.06     0.00      18.01     0.00
     9   0.1749  -3349.24    -0.09      19.20     0.09
    10   0.1936  -3839.43     0.00      21.47    -0.04
    11   0.1937  -3842.75     0.06      21.46    -0.08
    12   0.2457  -5148.95     0.04      28.64    -0.04
    13   0.2460  -5158.26    -0.23      28.78     0.04
    14   0.3168  -6558.57    -0.02      39.18    -0.06
    15   0.3334  -6787.65     0.07      41.88     0.07
    16   0.3357  -6815.85     0.07      42.03    -0.11
    17   0.4125  -7211.30    -0.02      54.08    -0.07
    18   0.4262  -7164.99    -0.12      56.29    -0.00
    19   1.0019   4501.91    -0.08     127.74     0.15
    20   1.0565   3867.00     0.00     133.70    -0.02
    21   1.0619   3779.23     0.22     134.53     0.20
    22   1.0783   3486.62    -0.00     136.29     0.02
    23   1.0838   3381.13    -0.05     136.94     0.02
    24   1.0841   3375.86    -0.09     137.00     0.02
    25   1.0893   3272.35    -0.01     137.63     0.05
    26   1.0895   3268.27     0.02     137.56    -0.06
    27   1.1551   1741.87    -0.08     145.63    -0.04
    28   1.1551   1741.41    -0.13     145.65    -0.02
    29   1.1602   1610.68     0.05     146.25    -0.04
    30   1.1603   1610.28     0.06     146.27    -0.02
    31   1.2969  -1671.43     0.17     164.41    -0.08
    32   1.2969  -1672.51     0.04     164.49    -0.02
    33   1.3218  -2088.07    -0.04     167.89    -0.06
    34   1.3218  -2088.87    -0.07     167.99     0.04
    35   1.3873  -2697.63    -0.08     176.95    -0.09
    36   1.3899  -2705.54     0.07     177.42     0.03
    37   2.0232   8831.25     0.04     257.36     0.05
    38   2.0423   8606.90    -0.04     259.74    -0.03
    39   2.2664   3504.40     0.02     288.66    -0.00

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VR170    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.655    43.668    43.643
ecceobj         0.041     0.043     0.040
incobj          1.609     1.608     1.609
qmin           40.858    40.785    40.958
qmax           45.915    46.023    45.935
amean          43.332    43.345    43.320
amin           42.998    43.017    42.986
amax           43.672    43.686    43.669
emean           0.036     0.037     0.034
emin            0.016     0.018     0.014
emax            0.052     0.054     0.052
imean           1.052     1.051     1.054
imin            0.020     0.000     0.020
imax            1.714     1.713     1.715
excite_mean     0.041     0.042     0.039
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.091     3.091     3.091

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       212.5     212.2     212.4
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     179.9