Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VR171

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VR171   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:41 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     38 observations of     38
# Arc:   3.08y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2017/12/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000072   0.020913  -0.000006  -0.001954   0.022481   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.11 DOF:     70 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.28    0.17
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.531459E-05  2.113988E-02 -1.588604E-06 -1.975046E-03  2.268818E-02  1.360846E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.8877E-13 -3.1399E-13 -1.0747E-14  2.0837E-14 -1.4574E-13 -3.4165E-12
 -3.1399E-13  4.6875E-13  1.8853E-14 -3.6555E-14  2.5592E-13  5.9936E-12
 -1.0747E-14  1.8853E-14  1.5349E-13 -7.6828E-14  1.1560E-14  2.6980E-13
  2.0837E-14 -3.6555E-14 -7.6828E-14  5.3046E-14 -2.3702E-14 -5.2482E-13
 -1.4574E-13  2.5592E-13  1.1560E-14 -2.3702E-14  2.7446E-13  3.8181E-12
 -3.4165E-12  5.9936E-12  2.6980E-13 -5.2482E-13  3.8181E-12  8.5961E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -1.926510   48.929373   -0.097986   -0.032940   -0.984037  2456978.926868
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456970.5000  =  2014/11/09
Mean Anomaly:           83.31864 +/-     0.066
Argument of Peri:      108.83241 +/-     0.046
Long of Asc Node:      209.67252 +/-     0.002
Inclination:             5.66123 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.06367687 +/-    0.0004
Semi-Major Axis:     45.21025172 +/-    0.0035
Time of Perihelion: 2431272.8455 +/-      20.1
Perihelion:          42.33140446 +/-    0.0199
Aphelion:            48.08909899 +/-    0.0200
Period (y)              303.9930 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           29.51077904 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic Y           34.01817297 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Z           -1.48182023 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00182492 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00178871 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00024362 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.05904974 +/-    0.0007
Geocenter to KBO     44.07581938 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  8.28

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VR171. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VR171) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.42609  03 08 05.212  +15 35 49.60  24.7r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2014 11  17.54029  03 08 04.675  +15 35 47.35  24.0r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2014 11  19.33914  03 07 56.498  +15 35 12.47  25.3r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2014 11  23.44182  03 07 37.906  +15 33 54.07  25.1r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 08  11.56405  03 17 16.006  +16 09 59.09  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 10  07.42237  03 15 59.119  +16 01 37.15  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 10  08.43421  03 15 55.574  +16 01 20.36  25.1w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 10  08.49327  03 15 55.356  +16 01 19.40  24.8w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.34317  03 13 50.698  +15 52 06.11  24.6r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.38533  03 13 50.514  +15 52 05.33  24.9r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.42748  03 13 50.317  +15 52 04.52  24.8r 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  10.51130  03 13 36.128  +15 51 04.36  25.2w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  17.35801  03 13 04.560  +15 48 52.04  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  17.40462  03 13 04.341  +15 48 51.13  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 12  06.36680  03 11 40.317  +15 43 09.27  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 12  13.30120  03 11 12.474  +15 41 19.70  24.7w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 12  13.35972  03 11 12.247  +15 41 18.76  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 01  01.35451  03 10 09.764  +15 37 23.33  25.1w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 01  07.30127  03 09 55.323  +15 36 32.55  24.6w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 02  04.33458  03 09 27.619  +15 35 26.34  25.2w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 02  11.22361  03 09 31.725  +15 35 55.19  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 09  07.56206  03 22 05.409  +16 19 50.59        15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 09  26.62090  03 21 26.637  +16 16 15.05  25.1w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.43747  03 20 42.196  +16 12 44.02  25.2w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.49616  03 20 41.979  +16 12 43.04  25.2w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.51394  03 20 41.915  +16 12 42.79  25.1w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 11  02.51995  03 19 06.636  +16 05 46.68  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 12  24.30148  03 15 26.387  +15 51 17.98  25.5w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  02.40371  03 14 59.583  +15 49 43.33  25.1w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  26.29235  03 14 20.434  +15 47 48.73  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  26.34976  03 14 20.405  +15 47 48.59  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  16.60944  03 26 45.241  +16 29 53.82  25.0w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  16.63393  03 26 45.201  +16 29 53.52        15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  17.59434  03 26 43.336  +16 29 43.24        15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  23.54857  03 26 30.181  +16 28 32.97        15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  23.57295  03 26 30.109  +16 28 32.58        15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 12  16.35926  03 20 50.688  +16 05 11.02  24.9w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 12  16.37785  03 20 50.613  +16 05 10.84  25.5w 15VR171   568  C~2nwA      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.04
     2   0.0003     -8.08    -0.21      -0.06     0.06
     3   0.0052   -131.25     0.17      -1.57    -0.05
     4   0.0165   -411.09     0.07      -4.04    -0.05
     5   0.7314   8209.66    -0.10    -138.87     0.01
     6   0.8871   7007.23    -0.06    -333.66     0.04
     7   0.8898   6953.45     0.01    -336.46    -0.04
     8   0.8900   6950.16    -0.05    -336.56    -0.01
     9   0.9717   5068.37    -0.08    -396.41     0.07
    10   0.9718   5065.60     0.10    -396.46     0.06
    11   0.9719   5062.64     0.10    -396.49     0.07
    12   0.9804   4849.16     0.03    -400.26     0.03
    13   0.9991   4374.59     0.06    -406.95     0.01
    14   0.9993   4371.30     0.05    -406.98    -0.00
    15   1.0512   3110.70     0.08    -413.26    -0.04
    16   1.0702   2693.90    -0.05    -411.27     0.01
    17   1.0703   2690.49    -0.02    -411.30    -0.06
    18   1.1223   1757.83     0.01    -395.87     0.04
    19   1.1386   1543.23     0.05    -388.63    -0.03
    20   1.2154   1139.92    -0.00    -344.52     0.04
    21   1.2342   1204.83    -0.00    -332.74     0.00
    22   1.8074  12399.45     0.01    -643.23    -0.05
    23   1.8595  11802.66     0.13    -709.06    -0.28
    24   1.8974  11127.86    -0.06    -748.98     0.00
    25   1.8975  11124.58    -0.05    -749.12    -0.01
    26   1.8976  11123.62    -0.01    -749.13     0.03
    27   1.9606   9686.34    -0.04    -797.32    -0.05
    28   2.1023   6388.47    -0.04    -807.35     0.11
    29   2.1272   5990.04    -0.02    -796.83    -0.03
    30   2.1927   5414.37     0.00    -758.25     0.03
    31   2.1928   5413.93     0.10    -758.28    -0.10
    32   2.8314  16467.81     0.04   -1077.25    -0.02
    33   2.8315  16467.17     0.15   -1077.40    -0.08
    34   2.8341  16438.45     0.08   -1080.67     0.10
    35   2.8504  16236.43     0.03   -1101.48     0.01
    36   2.8505  16235.32    -0.14   -1101.60    -0.03
    37   3.0799  11129.88    -0.09   -1218.90     0.04
    38   3.0800  11128.79    -0.11   -1218.80     0.13

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VR171    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.572    45.584    45.561
ecceobj         0.069     0.070     0.068
incobj          5.637     5.638     5.637
qmin           41.502    41.466    41.521
qmax           49.209    49.176    49.067
amean          45.224    45.234    45.212
amin           44.860    44.875    44.856
amax           45.601    45.614    45.595
emean           0.066     0.066     0.065
emin            0.052     0.053     0.051
emax            0.079     0.079     0.077
imean           6.663     6.664     6.663
imin            6.162     6.162     6.162
imax            7.097     7.099     7.092
excite_mean     0.133     0.134     0.133
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.094     3.094     3.094

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       179.1     178.2     178.4
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     179.9