Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VT171

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VT171   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:42 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     36 observations of     36
# Arc:   3.08y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2017/12/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000020   0.023942  -0.000003  -0.000535   0.024192   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     9.51 DOF:     66 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.20    0.23
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.619282E-05  2.413071E-02 -1.400650E-06 -5.390143E-04  2.444962E-02  7.636414E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  3.7618E-13 -3.9862E-13 -2.4912E-15  5.9437E-15 -1.8695E-13 -3.8322E-12
 -3.9862E-13  5.4950E-13  4.1013E-15 -9.3768E-15  2.7159E-13  6.0806E-12
 -2.4912E-15  4.1013E-15  1.7806E-13 -8.7975E-14  1.6199E-15  5.0607E-14
  5.9437E-15 -9.3768E-15 -8.7975E-14  5.6712E-14 -5.3939E-15 -1.1565E-13
 -1.8695E-13  2.7159E-13  1.6199E-15 -5.3939E-15  2.5704E-13  3.3469E-12
 -3.8322E-12  6.0806E-12  5.0607E-14 -1.1565E-13  3.3469E-12  7.5004E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -2.026499   49.044730   -0.096003   -0.034665   -0.984173  2456978.926868
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456970.5000  =  2014/11/09
Mean Anomaly:           40.30445 +/-     0.278
Argument of Peri:      193.15530 +/-     0.319
Long of Asc Node:      172.06745 +/-     0.012
Inclination:             2.35629 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.04700110 +/-    0.0003
Semi-Major Axis:     43.39624041 +/-    0.0027
Time of Perihelion: 2445280.1608 +/-      80.7
Perihelion:          41.35656958 +/-    0.0118
Aphelion:            45.43591123 +/-    0.0119
Period (y)              285.8817 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           27.36206331 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Y           31.67774591 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic Z           -1.44639307 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00199037 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00182913 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00006324 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.88381725 +/-    0.0006
Geocenter to KBO     40.90043925 +/-    0.0008
# Hcoef:  8.67

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VT171. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VT171) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.42609  03 08 39.610  +15 31 55.57  25.1r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2014 11  19.33914  03 08 30.282  +15 31 17.48  25.0r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2014 11  23.44182  03 08 10.374  +15 29 57.74  24.6r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 08  11.56405  03 18 40.684  +16 13 14.31  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 09  06.61072  03 18 39.903  +16 11 46.47  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 09  12.50083  03 18 30.974  +16 10 54.07  25.4w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 10  07.42237  03 17 21.477  +16 05 19.72  24.3w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 10  08.43421  03 17 17.697  +16 05 03.03  25.6w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.34317  03 15 04.371  +15 55 41.19  24.7r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.38533  03 15 04.162  +15 55 40.30  25.1r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  07.42748  03 15 03.948  +15 55 39.59  24.8r 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  10.51130  03 14 48.765  +15 54 38.33  24.9w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  17.35801  03 14 14.930  +15 52 23.73  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 11  17.40462  03 14 14.693  +15 52 22.71  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2015 12  13.35972  03 12 14.442  +15 44 44.35  24.8w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 01  01.35451  03 11 07.383  +15 40 50.62  25.0w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 01  07.30127  03 10 51.902  +15 40 02.06  25.3w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 02  11.22361  03 10 26.873  +15 39 55.73  24.9w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 09  07.56206  03 24 07.679  +16 30 36.37        15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 09  26.62090  03 23 27.293  +16 27 10.21  25.2w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.43747  03 22 40.285  +16 23 40.96  25.0w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.49616  03 22 40.041  +16 23 40.07  24.9w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 10  10.51394  03 22 39.964  +16 23 39.76  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 11  02.51995  03 20 58.296  +16 16 41.11  24.7w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 11  04.39506  03 20 49.208  +16 16 05.08  25.1w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 12  24.33186  03 17 01.508  +16 02 01.89  24.9w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2016 12  24.33677  03 17 01.495  +16 02 01.98  25.0w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  02.43457  03 16 32.646  +16 00 28.67  25.2w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  02.43952  03 16 32.628  +16 00 28.54  25.5w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 01  26.34976  03 15 50.441  +15 58 45.70  25.0w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  15.58250  03 29 25.978  +16 47 57.53  25.0w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  16.63393  03 29 23.957  +16 47 47.20  25.2w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  21.62755  03 29 13.080  +16 46 53.12  25.5w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 09  22.56874  03 29 10.808  +16 46 42.50  25.3w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 12  16.35926  03 23 05.116  +16 23 08.12  25.2w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      
2017 12  16.37785  03 23 05.058  +16 23 07.78  25.4w 15VT171   568  C~2nwA      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.22
     2   0.0052   -140.09     0.13      -0.17    -0.11
     3   0.0165   -438.68    -0.01       1.04     0.00
     4   0.7314   9024.64     0.23      93.04    -0.20
     5   0.8027   8990.95     0.05      11.04    -0.01
     6   0.8188   8852.88    -0.17      -6.25     0.09
     7   0.8871   7797.28     0.07     -68.83    -0.11
     8   0.8898   7740.25     0.03     -70.74     0.02
     9   0.9717   5735.69    -0.06    -109.28    -0.00
    10   0.9718   5732.55    -0.06    -109.34    -0.06
    11   0.9719   5729.38    -0.08    -109.21     0.07
    12   0.9804   5501.80     0.02    -110.61    -0.04
    13   0.9991   4995.13    -0.02    -111.60     0.06
    14   0.9993   4991.56    -0.10    -111.68    -0.04
    15   1.0703   3195.89     0.02     -92.96     0.03
    16   1.1223   2200.18    -0.03     -59.47    -0.00
    17   1.1386   1971.74     0.09     -46.34    -0.04
    18   1.2342   1621.79     0.03      44.58     0.03
    19   1.8074  13855.82    -0.07    -104.06     0.03
    20   1.8595  13239.01    -0.06    -156.62     0.19
    21   1.8974  12528.94     0.16    -187.32    -0.08
    22   1.8975  12525.30     0.01    -187.29     0.04
    23   1.8976  12524.15    -0.09    -187.30     0.05
    24   1.9606  10997.36     0.02    -218.31    -0.13
    25   1.9657  10861.25     0.01    -219.57    -0.05
    26   2.1024   7467.35    -0.12    -184.80     0.00
    27   2.1024   7467.19    -0.01    -184.67     0.13
    28   2.1273   7040.81     0.08    -166.02     0.00
    29   2.1273   7040.52     0.00    -166.08    -0.07
    30   2.1928   6425.86    -0.02    -105.91     0.02
    31   2.8286  18574.30     0.12    -237.34    -0.05
    32   2.8315  18543.38     0.06    -240.21     0.06
    33   2.8452  18377.36    -0.20    -254.19    -0.13
    34   2.8478  18342.85    -0.01    -256.45     0.15
    35   3.0799  12867.47    -0.09    -310.14     0.05
    36   3.0800  12866.58     0.17    -310.26    -0.10

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VT171    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.738    43.748    43.729
ecceobj         0.055     0.056     0.055
incobj          2.349     2.349     2.349
qmin           40.158    40.143    40.154
qmax           46.790    46.868    46.816
amean          43.396    43.405    43.387
amin           43.049    43.065    43.050
amax           43.755    43.761    43.737
emean           0.055     0.055     0.054
emin            0.036     0.037     0.035
emax            0.070     0.071     0.071
imean           3.172     3.169     3.175
imin            2.188     2.188     2.188
imax            3.918     3.915     3.926
excite_mean     0.078     0.078     0.078
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.087     3.087     3.087

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       181.9     181.6     181.5
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0