The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15VV165 # Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:33 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 41 observations of 41 # Arc: 6.31y # First observation: 2015/08/11 # Last observation: 2021/12/01 # Chi-squared of fit: 8.00 DOF: 76 RMS: 0.08 # Min/Max residuals: -0.14 0.56 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.825689E-05 3.983484E-02 -5.033690E-06 -1.200771E-02 3.475226E-02 -1.653980E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.6305E-13 -6.2812E-14 -1.1311E-14 1.9786E-14 7.3856E-14 -2.2417E-13 -6.2812E-14 1.0836E-13 2.3054E-14 -3.6126E-14 2.4598E-14 4.3361E-13 -1.1311E-14 2.3054E-14 6.3188E-14 -2.2693E-14 5.5906E-15 1.0033E-13 1.9786E-14 -3.6126E-14 -2.2693E-14 2.1864E-14 -6.5934E-15 -1.5756E-13 7.3856E-14 2.4598E-14 5.5906E-15 -6.5934E-15 9.6322E-14 9.3139E-14 -2.2417E-13 4.3361E-13 1.0033E-13 -1.5756E-13 9.3139E-14 1.8890E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -0.801999 49.818904 1.015638 0.000438 0.022363 2457246.106449 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457246.5000 = 2015/08/12 Mean Anomaly: 305.06523 +/- 0.018 Argument of Peri: 246.42587 +/- 0.023 Long of Asc Node: 225.15394 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 16.86902 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.08750767 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 30.11554153 +/- 0.0011 Time of Perihelion: 2466457.9765 +/- 4.2 Perihelion: 27.48020064 +/- 0.0013 Aphelion: 32.75088241 +/- 0.0015 Period (y) 165.2701 +/- 0.01 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 19.32164210 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Y 21.30977525 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -0.40288212 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00249233 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00190882 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00094402 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 28.76798632 +/- 0.0002 Geocenter to KBO 28.77515214 +/- 0.0003 # Hcoef: 8.76
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VV165. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VV165) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 08 11.60566 03 10 23.442 +16 55 11.42 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 09 06.63576 03 10 23.448 +16 51 20.23 23.4w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 09 12.52541 03 10 10.777 +16 49 37.07 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 10 07.47166 03 08 31.127 +16 39 18.76 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 10 08.47583 03 08 25.763 +16 38 48.61 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 10 08.53403 03 08 25.444 +16 38 46.93 23.3w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 06.29151 03 05 23.768 +16 22 35.77 23.3r 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 06.35485 03 05 23.326 +16 22 33.50 23.4r 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 06.42547 03 05 22.844 +16 22 30.89 23.3r 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 06.49480 03 05 22.350 +16 22 28.46 23.4r 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 07.51356 03 05 15.312 +16 21 51.89 23.4w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 17.27960 03 04 07.723 +16 16 02.11 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 11 17.32888 03 04 07.377 +16 16 00.38 23.4w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 12 06.40765 03 02 02.431 +16 05 14.20 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2015 12 13.34220 03 01 22.272 +16 01 43.86 23.7w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 01 01.39556 02 59 55.310 +15 53 51.49 23.7w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 02 04.27190 02 59 13.743 +15 48 12.49 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 02 10.26162 02 59 23.330 +15 48 26.20 23.8w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 09 06.60560 03 20 29.780 +16 47 06.12 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 09 26.59656 03 19 33.228 +16 40 07.48 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 10 10.40230 03 18 27.281 +16 33 42.11 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 10 10.46065 03 18 26.958 +16 33 40.32 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 10 27.49679 03 16 43.396 +16 24 29.47 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 11 02.60285 03 16 02.309 +16 20 59.87 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 11 03.52184 03 15 56.030 +16 20 28.16 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2016 12 29.36878 03 10 12.200 +15 52 14.25 23.7w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 01 01.26608 03 10 00.828 +15 51 16.80 23.7w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 01 02.37586 03 09 56.725 +15 50 55.93 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 01 26.26424 03 09 07.891 +15 46 16.30 23.8w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 01 26.27054 03 09 07.891 +15 46 16.29 23.7w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 09 15.58250 03 30 23.621 +16 38 32.93 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 09 16.63393 03 30 21.036 +16 38 11.47 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 09 17.59434 03 30 18.559 +16 37 51.42 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 09 23.57295 03 30 00.465 +16 35 37.88 23.3w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 12 16.35926 03 21 32.058 +15 53 01.42 23.5w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2017 12 16.37785 03 21 31.955 +15 53 00.90 23.6w 15VV165 568 C~2lVc 2021 12 01.26551 04 04 55.656 +15 22 00.79 15VV165 304 C~5S8H 2021 12 01.26837 04 04 55.633 +15 22 00.57 15VV165 304 C~5S8H 2021 12 01.27134 04 04 55.611 +15 22 00.57 15VV165 304 C~5S8H 2021 12 01.27396 04 04 55.595 +15 22 00.46 15VV165 304 C~5S8H 2021 12 01.27657 04 04 55.572 +15 22 00.46 15VV165 304 C~5S8H
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.09 2 0.0713 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.04 3 0.0874 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.04 4 0.1557 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.04 5 0.1584 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 6 0.1586 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.05 7 0.2373 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.07 8 0.2375 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.05 9 0.2377 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.04 10 0.2379 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.02 11 0.2407 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 12 0.2674 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.05 13 0.2676 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.04 14 0.3198 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.01 15 0.3388 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.07 16 0.3909 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.03 17 0.4837 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.07 18 0.5001 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.01 19 1.0732 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.04 20 1.1280 0.00 0.56 0.00 0.01 21 1.1658 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.04 22 1.1659 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 23 1.2126 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 24 1.2293 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.07 25 1.2318 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01 26 1.3847 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.05 27 1.3926 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05 28 1.3957 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.06 29 1.4611 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.00 30 1.4611 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02 31 2.0971 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 32 2.1000 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.02 33 2.1026 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 34 2.1190 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.04 35 2.3484 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.01 36 2.3485 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.03 37 6.3071 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.07 38 6.3071 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.07 39 6.3071 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01 40 6.3071 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.04 41 6.3071 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.03
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15VV165 quality flag:3 Type: 1:1 1:1 1:1 axisobj 30.337 30.337 30.337 ecceobj 0.087 0.087 0.087 incobj 16.811 16.811 16.811 qmin 27.103 27.110 27.109 qmax 33.324 33.325 33.328 amean 30.110 30.110 30.110 amin 29.785 29.776 29.787 amax 30.485 30.488 30.480 emean 0.074 0.074 0.074 emin 0.051 0.051 0.051 emax 0.096 0.095 0.095 imean 17.818 17.817 17.820 imin 17.516 17.516 17.516 imax 18.080 18.081 18.079 excite_mean 0.315 0.315 0.315 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.896 2.896 2.896 libcent 0 64.2 64.3 64.2 libamp 0 26.1 26.0 26.1 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 179.2 179.3 179.2 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0