Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VW171

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VW171   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:42 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     36 observations of     36
# Arc:   3.08y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2017/12/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000068   0.022399  -0.000001  -0.000120   0.023485   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     6.61 DOF:     66 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.26    0.22
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.549998E-05  2.255539E-02  1.931354E-07 -1.198276E-04  2.362534E-02  6.539096E-05
# Covariance matrix:
  3.0083E-13 -3.4261E-13 -4.3466E-17  8.3051E-16 -1.4346E-13 -3.5240E-12
 -3.4261E-13  5.3357E-13  6.6679E-17 -1.5090E-15  2.6188E-13  6.3409E-12
 -4.3466E-17  6.6679E-17  1.5053E-13 -7.2504E-14 -4.0087E-16  1.2897E-16
  8.3051E-16 -1.5090E-15 -7.2504E-14  4.8080E-14 -1.4318E-15 -2.0758E-14
 -1.4346E-13  2.6188E-13 -4.0087E-16 -1.4318E-15  2.9437E-13  3.6804E-12
 -3.5240E-12  6.3409E-12  1.2897E-16 -2.0758E-14  3.6804E-12  8.3259E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -2.385734   48.703078   -0.101874   -0.040810   -0.983347  2456978.926868
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456970.5000  =  2014/11/09
Mean Anomaly:           90.75431 +/-     1.154
Argument of Peri:      171.50570 +/-     1.146
Long of Asc Node:      146.23651 +/-     0.014
Inclination:             2.35113 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.00281829 +/-    0.0004
Semi-Major Axis:     43.30797872 +/-    0.0030
Time of Perihelion: 2430727.4037 +/-     333.8
Perihelion:          43.18592434 +/-    0.0177
Aphelion:            43.43003309 +/-    0.0177
Period (y)              285.0100 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           28.48010338 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Y           32.58119874 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic Z           -1.76197772 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00196345 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00172533 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00001409 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.30999152 +/-    0.0007
Geocenter to KBO     42.32744153 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  8.28

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VW171. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VW171) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.42609  03 07 42.091  +15 05 37.43  24.5r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2014 11  17.54029  03 07 41.542  +15 05 35.34  24.3r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2014 11  19.33914  03 07 33.021  +15 05 01.27  24.6r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2014 11  23.44182  03 07 13.736  +15 03 44.56  24.7r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 10  07.42821  03 15 55.095  +15 38 47.36  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 10  08.44001  03 15 51.410  +15 38 30.75  25.4w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 10  08.49908  03 15 51.173  +15 38 29.72        15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.34843  03 13 41.508  +15 29 21.06  24.5r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.39058  03 13 41.302  +15 29 20.32  24.5r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.43274  03 13 41.091  +15 29 19.53  24.4r 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  10.51713  03 13 26.346  +15 28 20.39  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  10.54648  03 13 26.184  +15 28 19.72  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  17.36382  03 12 53.486  +15 26 10.06  24.7w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  17.41043  03 12 53.270  +15 26 09.21  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 12  06.37266  03 11 25.865  +15 20 36.79  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 12  13.30706  03 10 56.929  +15 18 52.12  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 12  13.36559  03 10 56.688  +15 18 51.34  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 01  01.36029  03 09 51.785  +15 15 13.89  24.6w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 01  07.30705  03 09 36.795  +15 14 30.22  24.6w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 02  04.34036  03 09 08.205  +15 14 06.13  24.7w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 02  11.22942  03 09 12.523  +15 14 47.60  25.0w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 09  07.56785  03 22 17.485  +16 04 20.25  25.2w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 09  27.50655  03 21 34.659  +16 00 39.40  25.1w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 10  10.44325  03 20 50.990  +15 57 23.46  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 10  10.50202  03 20 50.756  +15 57 22.54  25.2w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 10  10.51973  03 20 50.698  +15 57 22.23  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 11  02.51417  03 19 11.517  +15 50 31.56  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 01  26.34976  03 14 13.325  +15 33 37.34  24.1w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  15.57624  03 27 13.184  +16 22 02.00  24.7w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  16.63393  03 27 11.153  +16 21 51.31  25.0w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  17.59434  03 27 09.230  +16 21 41.44  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  21.62152  03 27 00.299  +16 20 56.90  24.7w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  23.57295  03 26 55.515  +16 20 33.77  24.8w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 12  16.35462  03 21 01.508  +15 57 43.95  25.0w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 12  16.35926  03 21 01.492  +15 57 44.19  25.2w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 12  16.37785  03 21 01.415  +15 57 43.88  24.9w 15VW171   568  C~2nwB      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.06
     2   0.0003     -8.22    -0.02       0.15     0.04
     3   0.0052   -136.24    -0.02       0.93     0.12
     4   0.0165   -425.90     0.10       3.16    -0.12
     5   0.8871   7406.14    -0.05      11.15    -0.02
     6   0.8898   7350.35     0.08       9.11    -0.05
     7   0.8900   7346.77    -0.15       9.01    -0.06
     8   0.9717   5392.88     0.06     -25.48    -0.07
     9   0.9718   5389.81     0.05     -25.40    -0.00
    10   0.9720   5386.65    -0.03     -25.36     0.04
    11   0.9804   5165.31     0.22     -25.80     0.13
    12   0.9805   5162.87    -0.07     -25.83     0.11
    13   0.9991   4672.39    -0.07     -25.14    -0.01
    14   0.9993   4669.16     0.09     -25.13    -0.03
    15   1.0512   3361.73    -0.06      -8.01    -0.00
    16   1.0702   2930.29    -0.05       3.36     0.00
    17   1.0703   2926.72    -0.06       3.54     0.06
    18   1.1223   1963.59     0.08      46.65     0.04
    19   1.1386   1742.90     0.05      63.10     0.00
    20   1.2154   1337.97     0.01     151.65    -0.20
    21   1.2342   1409.35    -0.09     174.69    -0.03
    22   1.8074  13146.96     0.03      62.27     0.08
    23   1.8620  12491.10    -0.08       6.60     0.02
    24   1.8974  11829.91     0.02     -21.20    -0.03
    25   1.8975  11826.40    -0.06     -21.23     0.03
    26   1.8976  11825.51     0.08     -21.31    -0.03
    27   1.9605  10332.89     0.04     -48.89     0.03
    28   2.1928   5904.57    -0.01      99.85    -0.03
    29   2.8286  17560.46    -0.08      14.11     0.06
    30   2.8315  17529.26     0.02      11.04     0.01
    31   2.8341  17499.79     0.07       8.39     0.08
    32   2.8452  17363.22    -0.05      -2.68     0.09
    33   2.8505  17290.26     0.06      -7.88     0.05
    34   3.0799  11982.27    -0.07     -40.42    -0.26
    35   3.0799  11982.11     0.04     -40.13     0.03
    36   3.0800  11980.95     0.01     -40.14    -0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VW171    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.630    43.639    43.621
ecceobj         0.010     0.010     0.010
incobj          2.349     2.349     2.349
qmin           42.015    42.008    42.017
qmax           44.770    44.783    44.737
amean          43.308    43.317    43.299
amin           42.978    42.988    42.966
amax           43.642    43.652    43.635
emean           0.012     0.013     0.012
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.026     0.026     0.026
imean           2.343     2.339     2.347
imin            1.460     1.460     1.459
imax            3.035     3.029     3.040
excite_mean     0.043     0.043     0.043
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.091     3.091     3.091

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       178.3     177.8     179.4
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0