Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VX169

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VX169   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:40 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     33 observations of     33
# Arc:   2.32y
# First observation: 2015/08/20
#  Last observation: 2017/12/13
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000077   0.020111  -0.000001   0.001082   0.022101   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.83 DOF:     60 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.26    0.31
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.410084E-05  1.980136E-02  9.940433E-07  1.065987E-03  2.184344E-02 -3.481199E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.7009E-13  5.2529E-15 -3.0370E-17  4.7906E-15  1.3107E-13  2.3386E-12
  5.2529E-15  2.8459E-13 -2.7482E-15  1.7304E-14  1.9415E-13  8.3511E-12
 -3.0370E-17 -2.7482E-15  8.9358E-14 -6.2708E-14 -1.6525E-15 -1.2243E-13
  4.7906E-15  1.7304E-14 -6.2708E-14  8.6204E-14  1.5597E-14  7.3194E-13
  1.3107E-13  1.9415E-13 -1.6525E-15  1.5597E-14  2.6229E-13  7.5576E-12
  2.3386E-12  8.3511E-12 -1.2243E-13  7.3194E-13  7.5576E-12  3.5302E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -0.856023   54.413423    1.013461   -0.000588   -0.048099  2457255.045359
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457250.5000  =  2015/08/16
Mean Anomaly:          225.92449 +/-     0.624
Argument of Peri:      123.24540 +/-     0.621
Long of Asc Node:       68.71326 +/-     0.004
Inclination:             3.18328 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.06109132 +/-    0.0006
Semi-Major Axis:     43.89293989 +/-    0.0037
Time of Perihelion: 2496808.7799 +/-     184.1
Perihelion:          41.21146239 +/-    0.0274
Aphelion:            46.57441740 +/-    0.0275
Period (y)              290.8039 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           27.48619647 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Y           36.67531528 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Z           -0.68388179 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00204459 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00140407 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00013430 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.83707497 +/-    0.0008
Geocenter to KBO     45.78032471 +/-    0.0011
# Hcoef:  7.79

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VX169. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VX169) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 08  20.54457  03 29 04.406  +18 02 37.69  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 08  20.55007  03 29 04.411  +18 02 37.74  25.1w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 09  07.60044  03 28 58.624  +18 02 07.38  23.8w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 09  12.44733  03 28 52.276  +18 01 42.46  25.2w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 10  07.49766  03 27 50.126  +17 57 50.96  24.8w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 10  07.55607  03 27 49.936  +17 57 50.36  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 10  09.53675  03 27 43.152  +17 57 25.55  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  06.31257  03 25 48.584  +17 50 33.61  23.8r 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  06.37589  03 25 48.311  +17 50 32.53  24.2r 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  06.44667  03 25 47.968  +17 50 31.38  24.6r 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  07.46686  03 25 43.295  +17 50 14.75  24.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  17.44798  03 24 56.940  +17 47 30.47  24.9w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 11  17.49527  03 24 56.713  +17 47 29.86  24.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 12  06.31417  03 23 31.286  +17 42 30.99  24.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 12  06.44064  03 23 30.713  +17 42 29.31  25.1w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 12  06.44787  03 23 30.695  +17 42 29.18  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2015 12  31.33561  03 21 58.063  +17 37 16.63  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 01  07.36493  03 21 38.886  +17 36 15.74  23.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 01  07.41708  03 21 38.735  +17 36 15.19  24.4w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 02  05.31154  03 21 02.894  +17 34 50.42  24.9w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 09  07.61412  03 33 33.893  +18 22 07.33        15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 09  27.53935  03 32 56.077  +18 19 48.93  24.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 10  09.53365  03 32 19.013  +18 17 37.61  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 10  09.60571  03 32 18.764  +18 17 36.76  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 11  02.58549  03 30 41.280  +18 11 56.64  25.1w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 12  24.34518  03 26 54.927  +17 59 10.56  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2016 12  24.36175  03 26 54.874  +17 59 10.50  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 01  27.31949  03 25 39.184  +17 55 27.21  24.7w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 01  27.32464  03 25 39.177  +17 55 27.11        15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 09  15.55809  03 38 01.072  +18 41 09.48  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 09  20.60688  03 37 51.738  +18 40 36.78  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 12  13.37172  03 32 16.698  +18 21 55.35  24.6w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      
2017 12  13.40930  03 32 16.540  +18 21 54.96  24.5w 15VX169   568  C~2nw3      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.05
     2   0.0000      0.08     0.10       0.03    -0.01
     3   0.0494    -87.37     0.04      -9.32    -0.07
     4   0.0627   -181.25    -0.08     -11.42     0.09
     5   0.1313  -1097.59    -0.04     -19.21    -0.05
     6   0.1314  -1100.37     0.14     -19.13     0.02
     7   0.1369  -1200.30     0.02     -19.45    -0.05
     8   0.2129  -2886.89    -0.16     -15.63     0.08
     9   0.2131  -2890.94     0.11     -15.71    -0.05
    10   0.2133  -2895.97    -0.08     -15.61    -0.01
    11   0.2161  -2964.75     0.04     -15.19    -0.02
    12   0.2434  -3646.97    -0.00      -9.94    -0.07
    13   0.2435  -3650.26     0.00      -9.73     0.11
    14   0.2951  -4907.18    -0.08       5.66    -0.04
    15   0.2954  -4915.53    -0.26       6.09     0.23
    16   0.2954  -4915.81    -0.08       6.03     0.16
    17   0.3636  -6276.83    -0.05      36.74    -0.01
    18   0.3828  -6557.75     0.31      47.16    -0.07
    19   0.3830  -6559.98     0.01      47.18    -0.13
    20   0.4621  -7077.77     0.07      95.09     0.00
    21   1.0515   4009.02    -0.00     211.87     0.05
    22   1.1061   3452.98    -0.05     205.54    -0.06
    23   1.1389   2908.95    -0.05     204.03    -0.00
    24   1.1391   2905.30     0.06     204.05     0.01
    25   1.2048   1475.36     0.01     207.53    -0.11
    26   1.3465  -1841.51    -0.08     251.44    -0.08
    27   1.3465  -1842.26     0.04     251.57     0.03
    28   1.4395  -2944.15     0.02     302.10     0.03
    29   1.4395  -2944.27    -0.04     302.02    -0.05
    30   2.0726   7974.34     0.07     431.19    -0.01
    31   2.0864   7837.54    -0.09     430.10     0.08
    32   2.3157   2938.60     0.01     462.20    -0.05
    33   2.3159   2936.32     0.06     462.36     0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VX169    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        44.269    44.277    44.261
ecceobj         0.052     0.052     0.051
incobj          3.175     3.175     3.175
qmin           40.592    40.596    40.633
qmax           47.518    47.585    47.516
amean          43.967    43.976    43.959
amin           43.629    43.626    43.615
amax           44.315    44.337    44.315
emean           0.057     0.058     0.056
emin            0.040     0.041     0.040
emax            0.073     0.074     0.072
imean           1.707     1.709     1.704
imin            0.924     0.926     0.923
imax            2.295     2.299     2.290
excite_mean     0.064     0.065     0.064
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.096     3.096     3.096

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       185.6     185.2     185.8
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0