Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VX172

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VX172   
# Created Thu Apr  3 01:10:46 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     40 observations of     40
# Arc:   3.08y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2017/12/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000007   0.023253  -0.000001   0.000664   0.023878   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    13.46 DOF:     74 RMS:  0.10
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.19    0.23
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.633402E-05  2.340262E-02  2.168763E-07  6.689126E-04  2.404129E-02  4.916921E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  2.4860E-13 -2.8574E-13  3.0554E-15 -5.9211E-15 -1.2949E-13 -3.1340E-12
 -2.8574E-13  4.6853E-13 -6.0628E-15  1.1990E-14  2.3280E-13  6.3196E-12
  3.0554E-15 -6.0628E-15  1.4572E-13 -8.3906E-14 -3.6504E-15 -9.4544E-14
 -5.9211E-15  1.1990E-14 -8.3906E-14  6.5007E-14  6.3945E-15  1.8868E-13
 -1.2949E-13  2.3280E-13 -3.6504E-15  6.3945E-15  2.2285E-13  3.4594E-12
 -3.1340E-12  6.3196E-12 -9.4544E-14  1.8868E-13  3.4594E-12  9.9263E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -1.325737   47.893983   -0.113147   -0.022597   -0.982725  2456978.777218
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456970.5000  =  2014/11/09
Mean Anomaly:           41.47451 +/-     0.514
Argument of Peri:      277.72402 +/-     0.563
Long of Asc Node:       86.35160 +/-     0.010
Inclination:             2.08911 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.03137622 +/-    0.0003
Semi-Major Axis:     43.58158987 +/-    0.0025
Time of Perihelion: 2444863.6320 +/-     150.1
Perihelion:          42.21416411 +/-    0.0137
Aphelion:            44.94901563 +/-    0.0137
Period (y)              287.7152 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           28.45423044 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Y           31.65805896 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Z           -0.96236595 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00194282 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00182485 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00007496 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.57701346 +/-    0.0006
Geocenter to KBO     41.59510277 +/-    0.0008
# Hcoef:  8.76

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VX172. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VX172) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.27644  03 03 15.942  +15 53 27.31  25.0r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2014 11  17.38513  03 03 15.421  +15 53 25.12  24.8r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2014 11  17.49897  03 03 14.874  +15 53 22.92  25.5r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2014 11  19.28749  03 03 06.262  +15 52 48.28  25.5r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2014 11  23.39103  03 02 46.709  +15 51 30.26  24.7r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 08  11.59273  03 13 07.871  +16 37 07.79  25.6w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 09  06.62350  03 13 03.089  +16 36 11.20  25.3w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 09  12.51312  03 12 53.437  +16 35 25.15  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 10  07.43992  03 11 41.848  +16 30 15.54  24.7w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 10  07.44703  03 11 41.815  +16 30 15.31  24.7w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 10  08.45165  03 11 38.017  +16 29 59.49  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 10  08.51072  03 11 37.775  +16 29 58.42  25.1w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  07.35903  03 09 24.681  +16 20 58.17  25.0r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  07.40112  03 09 24.473  +16 20 57.32  25.1r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  07.44330  03 09 24.254  +16 20 56.21  25.1r 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  10.52886  03 09 09.191  +16 19 56.67  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  17.37547  03 08 35.783  +16 17 44.93  25.3w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 11  17.42215  03 08 35.552  +16 17 44.15  25.3w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 12  06.38432  03 07 07.118  +16 12 02.50  25.3w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2015 12  13.37723  03 06 37.771  +16 10 12.19  25.5w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 01  01.37186  03 05 33.099  +16 06 19.66  25.7w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 01  07.31862  03 05 18.391  +16 05 31.25  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 02  04.29505  03 04 52.269  +16 04 45.54  24.8w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 02  04.30157  03 04 52.252  +16 04 45.23  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 02  10.28486  03 04 56.459  +16 05 16.31  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 09  06.60560  03 18 18.300  +16 59 02.65        15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 09  26.59656  03 17 34.581  +16 55 51.69  25.0w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 10  10.40230  03 16 46.720  +16 52 35.88  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 10  10.46065  03 16 46.488  +16 52 35.08  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 10  27.49679  03 15 32.901  +16 47 43.07  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 11  02.60285  03 15 03.969  +16 45 50.05  25.3w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 11  03.52184  03 14 59.544  +16 45 32.97  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 12  24.29598  03 11 12.192  +16 31 24.05  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2016 12  29.36878  03 10 55.949  +16 30 28.32  25.4w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 01  01.26608  03 10 47.576  +16 30 00.31  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 01  02.37586  03 10 44.540  +16 29 50.17  25.2w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 01  02.39822  03 10 44.470  +16 29 49.77  25.5w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 01  26.27054  03 10 05.327  +16 28 03.14  25.5w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 09  17.60038  03 23 16.803  +17 20 04.87        15VX172   568  C~2nwF      
2017 12  16.39181  03 17 00.588  +16 56 25.24  24.1w 15VX172   568  C~2nwF      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.19       0.00     0.05
     2   0.0003     -7.83    -0.05      -0.02    -0.09
     3   0.0006    -16.02     0.12       0.06    -0.12
     4   0.0055   -145.00    -0.09       1.24    -0.08
     5   0.0167   -437.69     0.19       4.63     0.07
     6   0.7319   8920.75    -0.15     207.37     0.00
     7   0.8031   8839.29     0.16     171.05     0.10
     8   0.8193   8693.03    -0.12     163.54    -0.00
     9   0.8875   7616.70     0.18     139.66     0.11
    10   0.8875   7616.18     0.07     139.57     0.02
    11   0.8903   7559.23     0.02     138.93     0.04
    12   0.8904   7555.59    -0.19     138.83    -0.05
    13   0.9722   5563.88     0.10     133.25     0.13
    14   0.9723   5560.76     0.09     133.24     0.09
    15   0.9724   5557.43    -0.13     133.02    -0.16
    16   0.9808   5332.43    -0.19     134.30     0.04
    17   0.9996   4833.48    -0.02     137.71    -0.01
    18   0.9997   4830.06     0.01     137.86     0.09
    19   1.0516   3511.08     0.15     155.46    -0.02
    20   1.0708   3074.15    -0.03     164.80    -0.01
    21   1.1228   2114.10    -0.04     196.54    -0.01
    22   1.1391   1896.96     0.07     208.24     0.19
    23   1.2157   1522.41     0.23     267.91     0.10
    24   1.2157   1522.09    -0.12     267.68    -0.15
    25   1.2321   1588.94    -0.11     280.86    -0.17
    26   1.8051  13581.26     0.02     305.93    -0.05
    27   1.8599  12923.20    -0.02     284.46    -0.03
    28   1.8977  12206.36     0.02     274.52    -0.02
    29   1.8978  12202.92     0.05     274.62     0.08
    30   1.9445  11103.33    -0.10     269.61     0.03
    31   1.9612  10671.53     0.05     269.86    -0.12
    32   1.9637  10605.54     0.02     270.12    -0.02
    33   2.1027   7223.61     0.21     319.96    -0.08
    34   2.1166   6983.34    -0.07     328.91     0.02
    35   2.1245   6859.68     0.02     334.25     0.11
    36   2.1276   6814.85     0.10     336.21    -0.02
    37   2.1276   6813.77    -0.07     336.09    -0.18
    38   2.1930   6242.25    -0.12     384.82     0.11
    39   2.8346  18066.52     0.07     430.01    -0.03
    40   3.0804  12459.28    -0.14     444.27     0.04

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VX172    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.923    43.931    43.914
ecceobj         0.040     0.040     0.039
incobj          2.088     2.088     2.088
qmin           41.053    41.058    41.088
qmax           46.268    46.330    46.240
amean          43.585    43.594    43.577
amin           43.246    43.254    43.244
amax           43.930    43.943    43.923
emean           0.038     0.038     0.037
emin            0.019     0.019     0.018
emax            0.053     0.054     0.053
imean           0.781     0.780     0.783
imin            0.351     0.349     0.353
imax            1.134     1.134     1.135
excite_mean     0.041     0.041     0.040
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.095     3.095     3.095

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       179.6     179.8     180.0
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0