Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VZ171

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VZ171   
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:10:42 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     29 observations of     29
# Arc:   3.08y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2017/12/16
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000015   0.018568  -0.000002   0.000331   0.021267   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     6.49 DOF:     52 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.18    0.24
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.347236E-05  1.863436E-02  1.284288E-07  3.329088E-04  2.136577E-02 -6.873278E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  3.9454E-13 -4.1064E-13  4.2324E-15 -6.0030E-15 -2.2487E-13 -5.1487E-12
 -4.1064E-13  5.9275E-13 -7.1659E-15  1.0507E-14  3.6229E-13  8.9179E-12
  4.2324E-15 -7.1659E-15  2.1604E-13 -1.0636E-13 -5.5152E-15 -1.2075E-13
 -6.0030E-15  1.0507E-14 -1.0636E-13  6.8646E-14  6.4960E-15  1.8024E-13
 -2.2487E-13  3.6229E-13 -5.5152E-15  6.4960E-15  3.6432E-13  5.9336E-12
 -5.1487E-12  8.9179E-12 -1.2075E-13  1.8024E-13  5.9336E-12  1.5214E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -2.687295   49.264469   -0.092226   -0.046029   -0.984069  2456978.926868
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456970.5000  =  2014/11/09
Mean Anomaly:          207.92288 +/-     0.372
Argument of Peri:       87.54657 +/-     0.370
Long of Asc Node:      118.07433 +/-     0.015
Inclination:             2.82475 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.08606039 +/-    0.0003
Semi-Major Axis:     44.35084752 +/-    0.0037
Time of Perihelion: 2502544.0328 +/-     111.2
Perihelion:          40.53399644 +/-    0.0119
Aphelion:            48.16769861 +/-    0.0121
Period (y)              295.3664 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           31.07897115 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Y           36.23380759 +/-    0.0010
Ecliptic Z           -2.19441563 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00186972 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00148811 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00004684 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   47.78709784 +/-    0.0009
Geocenter to KBO     46.80382965 +/-    0.0013
# Hcoef:  7.99

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VZ171. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VZ171) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.42609  03 10 16.524  +14 57 17.94  24.5r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2014 11  17.54029  03 10 16.004  +14 57 15.90  24.3r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2014 11  19.33914  03 10 08.168  +14 56 45.46  24.7r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 09  06.61481  03 18 30.850  +15 32 54.05  24.8w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 09  12.50491  03 18 22.493  +15 32 04.08  25.3w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 10  07.42821  03 17 19.291  +15 26 57.70  24.7w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.34843  03 15 16.622  +15 18 24.73  24.7r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.39058  03 15 16.435  +15 18 24.02  24.7r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  07.43274  03 15 16.251  +15 18 23.26  25.1r 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  10.51713  03 15 02.676  +15 17 29.93  24.9w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2015 11  10.54648  03 15 02.546  +15 17 29.39  25.1w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 01  01.36029  03 11 44.012  +15 05 46.83  24.7w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 01  07.30705  03 11 29.828  +15 05 08.61  24.8w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 02  11.22942  03 11 04.050  +15 05 30.87  25.1w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 09  07.56785  03 22 41.766  +15 50 03.17        15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 09  27.50655  03 22 01.767  +15 46 38.08  25.4w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 10  10.44325  03 21 21.421  +15 43 38.29  25.1w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 11  02.51417  03 19 49.899  +15 37 23.08  25.0w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 11  04.38927  03 19 41.772  +15 36 51.22  24.8w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 12  24.31885  03 16 18.184  +15 24 44.92  24.9w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2016 12  24.33677  03 16 18.126  +15 24 44.67  24.9w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 01  02.42106  03 15 52.129  +15 23 29.13  24.7w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 01  02.43952  03 15 52.086  +15 23 28.68  25.0w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 01  26.33541  03 15 13.122  +15 22 16.97  25.3w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 01  26.34976  03 15 13.126  +15 22 17.03  25.6w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  15.57624  03 26 44.103  +16 06 02.96  25.2w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 09  23.57295  03 26 27.464  +16 04 40.42        15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 12  16.35462  03 21 00.933  +15 43 52.17  24.7w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      
2017 12  16.35926  03 21 00.919  +15 43 52.05  24.9w 15VZ171   568  C~2nwB      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0003     -7.81    -0.13       0.06     0.00
     3   0.0052   -125.37     0.06       1.26     0.09
     4   0.8027   7467.10    -0.18     170.66     0.08
     5   0.8188   7337.33     0.10     153.75    -0.05
     6   0.8871   6374.42    -0.07      95.70     0.02
     7   0.9717   4526.54     0.07      65.55    -0.11
     8   0.9718   4523.74     0.09      65.58    -0.09
     9   0.9720   4520.97     0.13      65.54    -0.14
    10   0.9804   4317.35    -0.00      65.81    -0.01
    11   0.9805   4315.40     0.01      65.79    -0.04
    12   1.1223   1357.47    -0.15     150.76     0.02
    13   1.1386   1149.30    -0.01     168.83     0.04
    14   1.2342    795.52    -0.04     290.17    -0.00
    15   1.8074  11241.21    -0.05     233.43     0.03
    16   1.8620  10628.97    -0.06     182.35     0.04
    17   1.8974  10018.36    -0.02     157.59     0.11
    18   1.9605   8641.74     0.02     134.91     0.03
    19   1.9657   8519.88     0.03     134.44     0.07
    20   2.1024   5486.14     0.03     198.60     0.09
    21   2.1024   5485.26     0.01     198.58     0.01
    22   2.1273   5102.41     0.06     224.29     0.24
    23   2.1273   5101.69     0.04     224.02    -0.09
    24   2.1928   4538.83    -0.09     302.98    -0.18
    25   2.1928   4538.90     0.12     303.03    -0.18
    26   2.8286  14879.74     0.11     280.10     0.03
    27   2.8505  14625.61    -0.01     260.14     0.03
    28   3.0799   9735.36    -0.09     246.98     0.02
    29   3.0799   9735.14    -0.06     246.92    -0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VZ171    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        44.645    44.655    44.635
ecceobj         0.078     0.078     0.078
incobj          2.826     2.826     2.826
qmin           39.909    39.935    39.947
qmax           49.005    49.074    49.014
amean          44.354    44.364    44.345
amin           43.994    44.006    43.995
amax           44.731    44.743    44.715
emean           0.081     0.081     0.081
emin            0.066     0.066     0.065
emax            0.096     0.097     0.097
imean           1.494     1.492     1.495
imin            0.724     0.724     0.723
imax            2.190     2.187     2.192
excite_mean     0.086     0.086     0.085
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.097     3.097     3.097

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       196.7     196.9     196.3
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     180.0