Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 16CS433

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 16CS433   
# Created Wed Apr 16 01:10:47 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     19 observations of     19
# Arc:   3.14y
# First observation: 2016/01/15
#  Last observation: 2019/03/08
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000060   0.026025   0.000000   0.004349   0.025914   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    12.68 DOF:     32 RMS:  0.14
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.38    0.26
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.530620E-05  2.597778E-02  4.470835E-06  4.347747E-03  2.598909E-02  4.545005E-05
# Covariance matrix:
  5.2351E-13  9.6295E-13 -2.5223E-15  1.9411E-13  9.5709E-13  1.4602E-11
  9.6295E-13  4.2275E-12 -2.3926E-14  7.9248E-13  2.8809E-12  5.9136E-11
 -2.5223E-15 -2.3926E-14  1.5459E-13 -5.6747E-14 -9.5570E-15 -3.3007E-13
  1.9411E-13  7.9248E-13 -5.6747E-14  1.8519E-13  5.4921E-13  1.1184E-11
  9.5709E-13  2.8809E-12 -9.5570E-15  5.4921E-13  2.5257E-12  4.1229E-11
  1.4602E-11  5.9136E-11 -3.3007E-13  1.1184E-11  4.1229E-11  8.3484E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -12.054165  142.027748    0.458911   -0.181470   -0.850725  2457402.906499
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457400.5000  =  2016/01/13
Mean Anomaly:          340.23856 +/-     1.934
Argument of Peri:      328.76771 +/-     2.060
Long of Asc Node:      192.55054 +/-     0.002
Inclination:            14.99100 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.02942302 +/-    0.0004
Semi-Major Axis:     40.44935940 +/-    0.0053
Time of Perihelion: 2462558.5066 +/-     504.9
Perihelion:          39.25921723 +/-    0.0167
Aphelion:            41.63950157 +/-    0.0168
Period (y)              257.2620 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -30.07099151 +/-    0.0018
Ecliptic Y           24.04756135 +/-    0.0014
Ecliptic Z           -8.03540075 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00176361 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00210254 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00044694 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   39.33341331 +/-    0.0016
Geocenter to KBO     38.47768434 +/-    0.0024
# Hcoef:  8.88

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16CS433. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16CS433) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2016 01  15.40571  09 22 03.95   +02 44 11.7   24.2z 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 01  15.46026  09 22 03.70   +02 44 13.2   25.1z 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 02  08.46405  09 20 08.21   +02 52 33.6   24.5r 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 02  08.48335  09 20 08.12   +02 52 33.9   24.6r 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 02  08.48548  09 20 08.09   +02 52 33.9   25.1r 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 02  08.51059  09 20 07.99   +02 52 34.9   25.0r 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 03  04.33690  09 18 10.07   +03 04 38.5   24.2i 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 03  04.35330  09 18 09.98   +03 04 39.2   23.7i 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 03  04.38346  09 18 09.85   +03 04 40.0   24.0i 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2016 03  04.39700  09 18 09.79   +03 04 40.5   24.4i 16CS433   T09  C~8ne5      
2019 01  06.45953  09 40 33.91   +02 00 09.4   25.4g 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 01  06.56568  09 40 33.50   +02 00 10.2   25.6g 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 01  06.60853  09 40 33.35   +02 00 10.7   26.3g 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 01  08.47007  09 40 26.30   +02 00 30.0   24.5i 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 01  08.49433  09 40 26.21   +02 00 30.1   24.6i 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 01  08.51056  09 40 26.13   +02 00 30.5   24.4i 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 03  08.26245  09 35 53.47   +02 24 13.1   24.7r 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 03  08.31706  09 35 53.20   +02 24 14.8   25.0r 16CS433   T09  C~870T      
2019 03  08.32553  09 35 53.16   +02 24 15.1   25.0r 16CS433   T09  C~870T      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.38
     2   0.0001     -4.03    -0.14       0.25     0.25
     3   0.0659  -1803.98    -0.05     -67.46     0.06
     4   0.0659  -1805.35     0.12     -67.60    -0.09
     5   0.0659  -1805.78    -0.13     -67.74    -0.24
     6   0.0660  -1807.52     0.14     -67.26     0.22
     7   0.1340  -3712.06     0.17      66.45     0.02
     8   0.1340  -3713.56    -0.13      66.69     0.11
     9   0.1341  -3715.66    -0.03      66.84    -0.01
    10   0.1341  -3716.67    -0.06      67.04     0.06
    11   2.9762  16655.82    -0.03    2748.80     0.13
    12   2.9765  16649.70    -0.03    2747.60    -0.13
    13   2.9766  16647.39     0.13    2747.36     0.01
    14   2.9817  16540.34    -0.01    2732.05    -0.08
    15   2.9818  16539.02     0.12    2731.71    -0.21
    16   2.9818  16537.74    -0.18    2731.71    -0.07
    17   3.1427  12189.21     0.26    2784.45     0.23
    18   3.1428  12184.82    -0.11    2784.78     0.04
    19   3.1428  12184.15    -0.15    2784.88     0.05

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

16CS433    quality flag:3

Type:       SCATEXTD  SCATEXTD  SCATEXTD

axisobj        40.310    40.325    40.296
ecceobj         0.024     0.024     0.023
incobj         15.024    15.024    15.024
qmin           38.432    38.402    38.342
qmax           42.343    42.324    42.309
amean          40.273    40.287    40.259
amin           39.976    39.985    39.951
amax           40.579    40.586    40.574
emean           0.026     0.026     0.025
emin            0.010     0.011     0.010
emax            0.044     0.044     0.043
imean          15.963    15.961    15.964
imin           14.894    14.892    14.885
imax           16.951    16.937    16.962
excite_mean     0.276     0.276     0.276
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.970     2.970     2.970

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       175.7     175.4     176.2
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0