The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 16CS433 # Created Wed Apr 16 01:10:47 2025 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 19 observations of 19 # Arc: 3.14y # First observation: 2016/01/15 # Last observation: 2019/03/08 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: -0.000060 0.026025 0.000000 0.004349 0.025914 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 12.68 DOF: 32 RMS: 0.14 # Min/Max residuals: -0.38 0.26 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.530620E-05 2.597778E-02 4.470835E-06 4.347747E-03 2.598909E-02 4.545005E-05 # Covariance matrix: 5.2351E-13 9.6295E-13 -2.5223E-15 1.9411E-13 9.5709E-13 1.4602E-11 9.6295E-13 4.2275E-12 -2.3926E-14 7.9248E-13 2.8809E-12 5.9136E-11 -2.5223E-15 -2.3926E-14 1.5459E-13 -5.6747E-14 -9.5570E-15 -3.3007E-13 1.9411E-13 7.9248E-13 -5.6747E-14 1.8519E-13 5.4921E-13 1.1184E-11 9.5709E-13 2.8809E-12 -9.5570E-15 5.4921E-13 2.5257E-12 4.1229E-11 1.4602E-11 5.9136E-11 -3.3007E-13 1.1184E-11 4.1229E-11 8.3484E-10 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -12.054165 142.027748 0.458911 -0.181470 -0.850725 2457402.906499 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457400.5000 = 2016/01/13 Mean Anomaly: 340.23856 +/- 1.934 Argument of Peri: 328.76771 +/- 2.060 Long of Asc Node: 192.55054 +/- 0.002 Inclination: 14.99100 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.02942302 +/- 0.0004 Semi-Major Axis: 40.44935940 +/- 0.0053 Time of Perihelion: 2462558.5066 +/- 504.9 Perihelion: 39.25921723 +/- 0.0167 Aphelion: 41.63950157 +/- 0.0168 Period (y) 257.2620 +/- 0.05 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -30.07099151 +/- 0.0018 Ecliptic Y 24.04756135 +/- 0.0014 Ecliptic Z -8.03540075 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00176361 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00210254 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00044694 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 39.33341331 +/- 0.0016 Geocenter to KBO 38.47768434 +/- 0.0024 # Hcoef: 8.88
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16CS433. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16CS433) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2016 01 15.40571 09 22 03.95 +02 44 11.7 24.2z 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 01 15.46026 09 22 03.70 +02 44 13.2 25.1z 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 02 08.46405 09 20 08.21 +02 52 33.6 24.5r 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 02 08.48335 09 20 08.12 +02 52 33.9 24.6r 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 02 08.48548 09 20 08.09 +02 52 33.9 25.1r 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 02 08.51059 09 20 07.99 +02 52 34.9 25.0r 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 03 04.33690 09 18 10.07 +03 04 38.5 24.2i 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 03 04.35330 09 18 09.98 +03 04 39.2 23.7i 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 03 04.38346 09 18 09.85 +03 04 40.0 24.0i 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2016 03 04.39700 09 18 09.79 +03 04 40.5 24.4i 16CS433 T09 C~8ne5 2019 01 06.45953 09 40 33.91 +02 00 09.4 25.4g 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 01 06.56568 09 40 33.50 +02 00 10.2 25.6g 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 01 06.60853 09 40 33.35 +02 00 10.7 26.3g 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 01 08.47007 09 40 26.30 +02 00 30.0 24.5i 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 01 08.49433 09 40 26.21 +02 00 30.1 24.6i 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 01 08.51056 09 40 26.13 +02 00 30.5 24.4i 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 03 08.26245 09 35 53.47 +02 24 13.1 24.7r 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 03 08.31706 09 35 53.20 +02 24 14.8 25.0r 16CS433 T09 C~870T 2019 03 08.32553 09 35 53.16 +02 24 15.1 25.0r 16CS433 T09 C~870T
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.38 2 0.0001 -4.03 -0.14 0.25 0.25 3 0.0659 -1803.98 -0.05 -67.46 0.06 4 0.0659 -1805.35 0.12 -67.60 -0.09 5 0.0659 -1805.78 -0.13 -67.74 -0.24 6 0.0660 -1807.52 0.14 -67.26 0.22 7 0.1340 -3712.06 0.17 66.45 0.02 8 0.1340 -3713.56 -0.13 66.69 0.11 9 0.1341 -3715.66 -0.03 66.84 -0.01 10 0.1341 -3716.67 -0.06 67.04 0.06 11 2.9762 16655.82 -0.03 2748.80 0.13 12 2.9765 16649.70 -0.03 2747.60 -0.13 13 2.9766 16647.39 0.13 2747.36 0.01 14 2.9817 16540.34 -0.01 2732.05 -0.08 15 2.9818 16539.02 0.12 2731.71 -0.21 16 2.9818 16537.74 -0.18 2731.71 -0.07 17 3.1427 12189.21 0.26 2784.45 0.23 18 3.1428 12184.82 -0.11 2784.78 0.04 19 3.1428 12184.15 -0.15 2784.88 0.05
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
16CS433 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 40.310 40.325 40.296 ecceobj 0.024 0.024 0.023 incobj 15.024 15.024 15.024 qmin 38.432 38.402 38.342 qmax 42.343 42.324 42.309 amean 40.273 40.287 40.259 amin 39.976 39.985 39.951 amax 40.579 40.586 40.574 emean 0.026 0.026 0.025 emin 0.010 0.011 0.010 emax 0.044 0.044 0.043 imean 15.963 15.961 15.964 imin 14.894 14.892 14.885 imax 16.951 16.937 16.962 excite_mean 0.276 0.276 0.276 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.970 2.970 2.970 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 175.7 175.4 176.2 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0