The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 16TS94 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:10:47 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 49 observations of 49 # Arc: 6.07y # First observation: 2014/12/16 # Last observation: 2021/01/11 # Chi-squared of fit: 42.11 DOF: 92 RMS: 0.16 # Min/Max residuals: -0.48 0.45 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.640730E-05 3.103821E-02 -7.248853E-06 -1.317271E-02 2.965675E-02 3.657551E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.0028E-13 -7.3074E-14 -1.2739E-14 2.0889E-14 -4.4761E-15 -3.2045E-13 -7.3074E-14 1.0639E-13 2.3947E-14 -3.7446E-14 -2.1562E-14 5.7037E-13 -1.2739E-14 2.3947E-14 7.5647E-14 -3.0319E-14 -8.7771E-15 1.4261E-13 2.0889E-14 -3.7446E-14 -3.0319E-14 2.6372E-14 6.1620E-15 -2.2617E-13 -4.4761E-15 -2.1562E-14 -8.7771E-15 6.1620E-15 1.3235E-13 -7.6116E-14 -3.2045E-13 5.7037E-13 1.4261E-13 -2.2617E-13 -7.6116E-14 3.4525E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -30.360133 26.049386 -0.831370 -0.265505 -0.453664 2457007.683328 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457008.5000 = 2014/12/17 Mean Anomaly: 36.41214 +/- 0.008 Argument of Peri: 185.28446 +/- 0.012 Long of Asc Node: 157.19695 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 36.71560 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.18067012 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 39.33353844 +/- 0.0031 Time of Perihelion: 2447894.9703 +/- 2.3 Perihelion: 32.22714325 +/- 0.0038 Aphelion: 46.43993363 +/- 0.0046 Period (y) 246.6907 +/- 0.03 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 26.24350618 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic Y 13.75611045 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic Z -17.04305635 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00155285 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00242719 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00121988 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 34.18205307 +/- 0.0003 Geocenter to KBO 33.71911077 +/- 0.0004 # Hcoef: 7.44
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16TS94. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16TS94) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 12 16.18255 02 21 09.926 -18 14 24.17 23.7g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2014 12 16.18255 02 21 09.93 -18 14 24.2 23.8g 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2014 12 16.19078 02 21 09.90 -18 14 24.0 23.0r 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2014 12 16.19078 02 21 09.901 -18 14 24.03 23.0r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2014 12 23.10167 02 20 47.69 -18 11 34.4 23.3r 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2014 12 23.10167 02 20 47.694 -18 11 34.33 23.1r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2014 12 23.10304 02 20 47.697 -18 11 34.26 22.9i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2014 12 23.10304 02 20 47.70 -18 11 34.3 23.1i 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2014 12 24.16332 02 20 44.707 -18 11 03.99 23.4g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2014 12 24.16332 02 20 44.71 -18 11 04.0 23.5g 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 01 08.12518 02 20 15.572 -18 02 06.57 22.3z 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2015 01 08.12518 02 20 15.57 -18 02 06.6 22.6z 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 11 15.28381 02 31 46.47 -18 17 20.0 22.3i 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 11 15.28381 02 31 46.468 -18 17 19.99 22.3i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2015 11 20.27054 02 31 18.838 -18 18 18.09 23.0g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2015 11 20.27054 02 31 18.84 -18 18 18.2 23.2g 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 12 14.18968 02 29 24.32 -18 16 27.4 22.9r 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 12 14.18968 02 29 24.323 -18 16 27.40 22.8r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2015 12 14.19108 02 29 24.32 -18 16 27.3 23.2g 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2015 12 14.19108 02 29 24.325 -18 16 27.31 23.2g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2016 02 06.04408 02 28 26.35 -17 39 08.8 22.5i 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2016 02 06.04408 02 28 26.348 -17 39 08.85 22.4i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2016 02 06.04957 02 28 26.37 -17 39 08.5 22.7r 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2016 02 06.04957 02 28 26.371 -17 39 08.39 22.3r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2016 02 06.05094 02 28 26.379 -17 39 08.35 22.2g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2016 10 06.25664 02 43 29.497 -17 54 09.84 23.0r 16TS94 807 C~2AEF 2016 10 06.37433 02 43 28.889 -17 54 15.60 23.2r 16TS94 807 C~2AEF 2016 10 07.32498 02 43 24.269 -17 55 04.19 23.0r 16TS94 807 C~2AEF 2016 10 07.33492 02 43 24.227 -17 55 04.04 22.9r 16TS94 807 C~2AEF 2016 10 08.26721 02 43 19.617 -17 55 51.08 22.7r 16TS94 807 C~2AEF 2017 01 22.08314 02 36 02.221 -17 52 37.91 23.4i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 01 22.08452 02 36 02.22 -17 52 37.9 23.2r 16TS94 W84 C~3cyn 2017 01 22.08452 02 36 02.225 -17 52 37.93 23.1r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 10 30.33182 02 49 21.811 -18 09 10.84 23.0r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 10 30.33318 02 49 21.790 -18 09 10.89 22.6i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 10 30.33455 02 49 21.788 -18 09 10.88 23.3g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 11 01.22992 02 49 10.910 -18 10 10.91 21.8z 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 11 01.23129 02 49 10.904 -18 10 10.59 22.3z 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2017 11 10.22903 02 48 18.880 -18 14 04.09 22.9i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 01 16.11752 02 43 54.546 -17 56 57.13 23.1r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 01 16.11890 02 43 54.542 -17 56 56.90 22.9i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 01 16.12027 02 43 54.558 -17 56 57.03 23.3g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 09 22.37823 03 00 20.570 -17 35 32.47 22.7z 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 10 18.31358 02 58 25.546 -17 58 16.35 22.5r 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 10 18.33582 02 58 25.440 -17 58 17.28 22.5i 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2018 10 18.33719 02 58 25.435 -17 58 17.36 22.8g 16TS94 W84 C~4ycG 2021 01 11.119670 03 07 11.966 -17 50 52.32 22.8G 16TS94 G37 C~4UMi 2021 01 11.184670 03 07 11.829 -17 50 49.49 16TS94 G37 C~4UMi 2021 01 11.226110 03 07 11.780 -17 50 47.80 16TS94 G37 C~4UMi
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05
2 0.0000 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.08
3 0.0000 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.05
4 0.0000 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.08
5 0.0189 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.07
6 0.0189 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.00
7 0.0189 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03
8 0.0189 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.01
9 0.0219 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.03
10 0.0219 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.02
11 0.0628 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.11
12 0.0628 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.14
13 0.9147 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.02
14 0.9147 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.03
15 0.9284 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.23
16 0.9284 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.12
17 0.9939 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.00
18 0.9939 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.00
19 0.9939 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.06
20 0.9939 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.07
21 1.1413 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.00
22 1.1413 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.05
23 1.1413 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.14
24 1.1413 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.03
25 1.1413 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.10
26 1.8072 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -0.37
27 1.8075 0.00 -0.48 0.00 -0.10
28 1.8101 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.20
29 1.8101 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.45
30 1.8127 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.37
31 2.1024 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.03
32 2.1024 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.07
33 2.1024 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.04
34 2.8724 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.05
35 2.8724 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.05
36 2.8724 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.00
37 2.8776 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.32
38 2.8776 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.04
39 2.9022 0.00 0.26 0.00 -0.04
40 3.0854 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.03
41 3.0854 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.13
42 3.0854 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.07
43 3.7678 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.05
44 3.8388 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.25
45 3.8389 0.00 0.19 0.00 -0.21
46 3.8389 0.00 0.23 0.00 -0.23
47 6.0724 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.14
48 6.0726 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.21
49 6.0727 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.13
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
16TS94 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.660 39.660 39.660 ecceobj 0.187 0.187 0.187 incobj 36.631 36.631 36.631 qmin 31.699 31.701 31.698 qmax 47.603 47.602 47.603 amean 39.454 39.454 39.454 amin 39.067 39.067 39.067 amax 39.887 39.886 39.887 emean 0.160 0.160 0.160 emin 0.112 0.112 0.112 emax 0.195 0.195 0.195 imean 36.011 36.011 36.011 imin 35.450 35.451 35.448 imax 36.610 36.610 36.610 excite_mean 0.610 0.610 0.610 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.591 2.591 2.591 libcent 0 180.4 180.4 180.3 libamp 0 91.9 91.8 91.8 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.2 180.1 180.2 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0