Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 16YA39

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 16YA39    
# Created Sun Dec 22 02:10:54 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     41 observations of     41
# Arc:   4.15y
# First observation: 2016/12/25
#  Last observation: 2021/02/19
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000275   0.044526  -0.000025  -0.004043   0.033406   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    31.77 DOF:     76 RMS:  0.16
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.47    0.29
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.066930E-05  4.419281E-02 -2.565424E-06 -4.018361E-03  3.347854E-02  2.202330E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.0299E-13 -5.1991E-14  5.1585E-15  1.2532E-15  9.5292E-14 -2.0923E-13
 -5.1991E-14  2.6044E-13  8.5690E-15 -2.5206E-14  5.5725E-14  1.7533E-12
  5.1585E-15  8.5690E-15  5.0969E-14 -2.8787E-14  1.4772E-14  7.1531E-14
  1.2532E-15 -2.5206E-14 -2.8787E-14  5.4879E-14 -1.0175E-14 -2.1166E-13
  9.5292E-14  5.5725E-14  1.4772E-14 -1.0175E-14  2.2114E-13  4.6049E-13
 -2.0923E-13  1.7533E-12  7.1531E-14 -2.1166E-13  4.6049E-13  1.4732E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -10.378840  151.693301    0.837107   -0.094083   -0.514775  2457748.016489
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457740.5000  =  2016/12/18
Mean Anomaly:            1.93015 +/-     0.008
Argument of Peri:      237.54389 +/-     0.018
Long of Asc Node:      268.60129 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            11.56752 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.36001953 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     47.45936855 +/-    0.0051
Time of Perihelion: 2457100.2188 +/-       2.6
Perihelion:          30.37306908 +/-    0.0044
Aphelion:            64.54566802 +/-    0.0076
Period (y)              326.9574 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -25.93527284 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y           14.91299340 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z           -5.38135067 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00181504 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00313267 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00035574 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   30.39728087 +/-    0.0003
Geocenter to KBO     29.86988453 +/-    0.0004
# Hcoef:  9.03

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16YA39. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16YA39) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2016 12  25.51570  10 00 04.64   +01 09 36.4   24.2r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2016 12  25.54359  10 00 04.56   +01 09 36.1   24.0r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2016 12  25.59037  10 00 04.40   +01 09 35.6   23.6i 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  21.41782  09 58 10.28   +01 11 55.3   23.7z 16YA39    T09  C~8Q3u      
2017 01  21.43628  09 58 10.19   +01 11 55.9   23.6z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  21.50822  09 58 09.80   +01 11 56.8   23.5z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  21.53429  09 58 09.67   +01 11 57.3   23.1z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  21.57598  09 58 09.43   +01 11 57.4   23.5z 16YA39    T09  C~8Q3u      
2017 01  21.60021  09 58 09.28   +01 11 58.1   23.5z 16YA39    T09  C~8Q3u      
2017 01  21.61096  09 58 09.24   +01 11 58.5   23.9z 16YA39    T09  C~8Q3u      
2017 01  23.36023  09 57 59.85   +01 12 26.3   24.0r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  23.39391  09 57 59.67   +01 12 27.2   24.2r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  23.51704  09 57 58.99   +01 12 29.0   23.5i 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  23.55808  09 57 58.75   +01 12 29.9   23.6i 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  23.58838  09 57 58.60   +01 12 30.4   23.8i 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  30.43553  09 57 20.05   +01 14 40.3   24.2i 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 01  30.61243  09 57 19.00   +01 14 44.0   23.7z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  01.34247  09 57 08.94   +01 15 21.8   24.5g 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  01.35671  09 57 08.87   +01 15 22.3   24.7g 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  01.38893  09 57 08.67   +01 15 22.8   24.4g 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  21.32404  09 55 08.02   +01 24 29.5   23.8z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  21.34959  09 55 07.85   +01 24 30.7   23.2z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  21.37516  09 55 07.69   +01 24 31.4   23.4z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  21.40083  09 55 07.53   +01 24 32.2   23.3z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  21.42282  09 55 07.38   +01 24 32.7   23.7z 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  23.33356  09 54 55.82   +01 25 33.9   24.5g 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  23.46720  09 54 55.00   +01 25 38.2   23.9r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  23.49450  09 54 54.83   +01 25 39.2   23.8r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2017 02  23.51193  09 54 54.72   +01 25 39.6   23.8r 16YA39    T09  C~7dL4      
2018 01  17.46727  10 07 46.77   +00 04 09.8   23.6i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 01  17.48332  10 07 46.70   +00 04 09.8   23.5i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 01  17.51296  10 07 46.53   +00 04 10.1   23.5i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 01  17.53998  10 07 46.42   +00 04 10.5   23.6i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 01  17.59100  10 07 46.15   +00 04 11.1   23.4i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 01  17.59901  10 07 46.12   +00 04 11.3   23.5i 16YA39    T09  C~7gus      
2018 05  06.071948 09 59 43.92   +00 56 49.3         16YA39    W84  C~7gus      
2018 05  07.041149 09 59 43.76   +00 57 09.3         16YA39    W84  C~7gus      
2018 12  13.54558  10 18 41.00   -00 59 24.0   23.3i 16YA39    T09  C~7zpU      
2018 12  13.58993  10 18 40.96   -00 59 25.0   24.0i 16YA39    T09  C~7zpU      
2018 12  13.64039  10 18 40.89   -00 59 26.0   23.6i 16YA39    T09  C~7zpU      
2021 02  19.137630 10 32 19.40   -03 03 27.3         16YA39    W84  C~7gus      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.14
     2   0.0001     -1.02     0.17      -0.70     0.03
     3   0.0002     -3.09     0.04      -2.01    -0.29
     4   0.0737  -1655.11    -0.27    -470.52    -0.23
     5   0.0737  -1656.59    -0.24    -470.43     0.13
     6   0.0739  -1662.38    -0.15    -471.63    -0.06
     7   0.0740  -1664.38    -0.02    -471.85     0.10
     8   0.0741  -1667.79    -0.01    -473.02    -0.47
     9   0.0742  -1670.14    -0.38    -473.15    -0.26
    10   0.0742  -1670.84    -0.20    -472.98     0.05
    11   0.0790  -1812.49     0.00    -496.25    -0.07
    12   0.0791  -1815.34    -0.03    -496.35     0.28
    13   0.0794  -1825.52     0.11    -498.23     0.06
    14   0.0795  -1829.21    -0.13    -498.65     0.20
    15   0.0796  -1831.49     0.14    -498.97     0.29
    16   0.0983  -2418.56     0.13    -579.69    -0.00
    17   0.0988  -2434.61     0.07    -581.74    -0.09
    18   0.1036  -2589.19     0.03    -599.14    -0.04
    19   0.1036  -2590.34     0.18    -599.04     0.20
    20   0.1037  -2593.33     0.14    -599.62    -0.05
    21   0.1583  -4480.09     0.27    -720.68    -0.09
    22   0.1583  -4482.90    -0.04    -720.44     0.21
    23   0.1584  -4485.39    -0.02    -720.63     0.10
    24   0.1585  -4487.92    -0.03    -720.72     0.08
    25   0.1585  -4490.20    -0.15    -721.04    -0.18
    26   0.1638  -4674.10     0.09    -724.35    -0.05
    27   0.1641  -4687.13     0.14    -724.62    -0.06
    28   0.1642  -4689.87     0.07    -724.58     0.04
    29   0.1643  -4691.55     0.09    -724.78    -0.13
    30   1.0622   7871.93    -0.08   -1248.64     0.05
    31   1.0622   7870.94     0.12   -1249.00    -0.06
    32   1.0623   7868.44    -0.20   -1249.62    -0.21
    33   1.0624   7866.76     0.11   -1249.82     0.02
    34   1.0625   7862.75    -0.13   -1250.68    -0.03
    35   1.0625   7862.25    -0.03   -1250.65     0.12
    36   1.3595    -22.37     0.27    -827.35    -0.05
    37   1.3622    -31.62    -0.32    -809.46     0.11
    38   1.9659  18444.51     0.10   -1382.62     0.21
    39   1.9660  18444.29     0.22   -1383.77     0.12
    40   1.9661  18443.66    -0.02   -1385.08     0.01
    41   4.1523  32765.91    -0.07   -4104.10    -0.15

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

16YA39    quality flag:2

Type:       CENTAURS  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        47.249    47.267    47.230
ecceobj         0.356     0.356     0.356
incobj         11.548    11.548    11.548
qmin           29.560    28.895    29.129
qmax           69.572    66.376    67.433
amean          47.964    45.110    43.582
amin           46.688    41.053    34.499
amax           50.574    48.995    49.032
emean           0.356     0.322     0.293
emin            0.320     0.243     0.108
emax            0.391     0.379     0.379
imean          14.793    14.310    15.399
imin           12.056     9.119    11.904
imax           17.564    17.606    18.116
excite_mean     0.438     0.407     0.397
fracstop        1.000     0.653     0.689
cjmean          2.908     2.908     2.903

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       171.3     181.2     177.9
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0