Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19AU138

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19AU138   
# Created Sun Dec 22 02:11:03 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     60 observations of     60
# Arc:  18.15y
# First observation: 2002/01/09
#  Last observation: 2020/03/05
# Chi-squared of fit:    25.81 DOF:    114 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.32    0.38
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.676545E-05  3.587100E-02 -5.980527E-06 -1.192295E-02  3.336899E-02  8.347240E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.5722E-13 -2.5320E-14 -1.3858E-14  5.5865E-15 -2.8317E-14 -2.2527E-14
 -2.5320E-14  9.5354E-15  6.7708E-15 -2.8434E-15  2.0738E-14  1.1368E-14
 -1.3858E-14  6.7708E-15  1.2427E-13 -1.0313E-14  1.4006E-14  8.7454E-15
  5.5865E-15 -2.8434E-15 -1.0313E-14  1.5632E-15 -6.4350E-15 -3.6477E-15
 -2.8317E-14  2.0738E-14  1.4006E-14 -6.4350E-15  7.6403E-14  2.5273E-14
 -2.2527E-14  1.1368E-14  8.7454E-15 -3.6477E-15  2.5273E-14  1.4604E-14
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -0.302102  111.452681    0.041168   -0.005238   -0.977768  2452283.830057
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2452284.5000  =  2002/01/10
Mean Anomaly:           60.53267 +/-     0.001
Argument of Peri:      117.92929 +/-     0.001
Long of Asc Node:      290.48751 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            18.33730 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.02442066 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     31.31220231 +/-    0.0154
Time of Perihelion: 2441523.4128 +/-       7.9
Perihelion:          30.54753753 +/-    0.0150
Aphelion:            32.07686710 +/-    0.0158
Period (y)              175.2180 +/-      0.13
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -11.27839432 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Y           28.82187578 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z           -0.15818756 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00277094 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00101782 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00097839 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   30.95039598 +/-    0.0003
Geocenter to KBO     29.96797157 +/-    0.0004
# Hcoef:  7.76

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19AU138. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19AU138) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2002 01  09.329314 07 32 32.30   +21 25 50.7         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 01  09.330143 07 32 32.31   +21 25 50.8         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 01  14.191655 07 31 57.52   +21 26 34.2         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 01  14.192485 07 31 57.51   +21 26 33.9         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 01  14.194972 07 31 57.48   +21 26 34.0         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 11  07.388945 07 46 02.14   +20 20 33.4         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 11  07.389774 07 46 02.13   +20 20 33.2         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 11  07.392262 07 46 02.12   +20 20 33.6         19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 12  31.263088 07 41 50.82   +20 23 49.6   22.2r 19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 12  31.263917 07 41 50.80   +20 23 49.5   22.4i 19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2002 12  31.266405 07 41 50.81   +20 23 49.6   22.8g 19AU138   645  C~81DY      
2013 03  26.014377 08 49 50.53   +09 51 34.0   22.1r 19AU138   W84  C~81DY      
2013 03  31.025289 08 49 35.736  +09 53 08.91  22.2z 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2013 03  31.025289 08 49 35.76   +09 53 09.1   21.7z 19AU138   W84  C~81DY      
2013 04  01.088895 08 49 32.963  +09 53 28.23  22.1z 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.009344 08 56 48.496  +08 44 18.11  22.8R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.011398 08 56 48.485  +08 44 18.12  22.9R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.012080 08 56 48.482  +08 44 18.09  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.012748 08 56 48.483  +08 44 18.13  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.014092 08 56 48.478  +08 44 18.14  22.8R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.014769 08 56 48.472  +08 44 18.01  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.015422 08 56 48.468  +08 44 18.20  22.4R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.016119 08 56 48.471  +08 44 18.19  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.017520 08 56 48.472  +08 44 18.25  22.6R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.018208 08 56 48.464  +08 44 18.29  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.018874 08 56 48.465  +08 44 18.24  22.8R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.020083 08 56 48.469  +08 44 18.33  22.6R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.021452 08 56 48.472  +08 44 18.38  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.022802 08 56 48.464  +08 44 18.12  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.023482 08 56 48.451  +08 44 18.29  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.024170 08 56 48.453  +08 44 18.31  22.6R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.024825 08 56 48.450  +08 44 18.45  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.025495 08 56 48.436  +08 44 18.33  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.026851 08 56 48.446  +08 44 18.46  22.4R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.027510 08 56 48.436  +08 44 18.40  23.0R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.028184 08 56 48.440  +08 44 18.48  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.028872 08 56 48.435  +08 44 18.41  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.029541 08 56 48.427  +08 44 18.40  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.030227 08 56 48.424  +08 44 18.40  22.7R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2014 03  30.031569 08 56 48.423  +08 44 18.44  22.5R 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2016 01  10.258872 09 18 23.506  +05 54 43.39  22.9r 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2016 01  10.259951 09 18 23.503  +05 54 43.44  22.9g 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2018 02  05.260794 09 29 48.317  +03 40 39.84  22.5i 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2018 11  15.54315  09 41 26.99   +02 35 42.0   22.7z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.55808  09 41 27.00   +02 35 41.6   22.5z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.59379  09 41 27.01   +02 35 40.4   22.6z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.61997  09 41 27.05   +02 35 39.8   22.5z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 12  12.223920 09 41 10.491  +02 24 51.10  23.2g 19AU138   W84  C~85K5      
2019 01  06.45953  09 39 39.78   +02 22 35.8   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.56568  09 39 39.25   +02 22 36.3   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.58698  09 39 39.15   +02 22 36.7   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.61913  09 39 38.99   +02 22 36.7   23.5g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.26245  09 33 39.81   +02 44 14.0   22.8r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.29600  09 33 39.63   +02 44 15.0   22.6r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.32553  09 33 39.46   +02 44 16.2   22.6r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.33611  09 33 39.40   +02 44 16.4   22.7r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.28996  09 33 02.21   +02 47 58.4   22.2y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.31422  09 33 02.08   +02 47 59.4   22.3y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.31689  09 33 02.07   +02 47 59.4   22.2y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2020 03  05.151328 09 40 50.68   +01 32 07.6   21.9i 19AU138   W84  C~81DY      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.06
     2   0.0000      0.00     0.30       0.00     0.15
     3   0.0133      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.13
     4   0.0133      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.18
     5   0.0133      0.00    -0.27       0.00    -0.10
     6   0.8270      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.17
     7   0.8270      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.03
     8   0.8270      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.38
     9   0.9745      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.10
    10   0.9745      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.21
    11   0.9745      0.00     0.23       0.00    -0.13
    12  11.2079      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.18
    13  11.2216      0.00     0.25       0.00     0.06
    14  11.2216      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.13
    15  11.2245      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.12
    16  12.2182      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.06
    17  12.2182      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.03
    18  12.2182      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.01
    19  12.2182      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.01
    20  12.2182      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.00
    21  12.2182      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.15
    22  12.2182      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.03
    23  12.2182      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.00
    24  12.2182      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.04
    25  12.2182      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.06
    26  12.2182      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.00
    27  12.2182      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.06
    28  12.2182      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.08
    29  12.2182      0.00     0.14       0.00    -0.20
    30  12.2182      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.05
    31  12.2182      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
    32  12.2182      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.08
    33  12.2182      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.05
    34  12.2182      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.05
    35  12.2182      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.02
    36  12.2182      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.04
    37  12.2182      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.04
    38  12.2182      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.06
    39  12.2182      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.08
    40  12.2182      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.07
    41  14.0012      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.08
    42  14.0012      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.12
    43  16.0737      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.09
    44  16.8493      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.12
    45  16.8494      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.03
    46  16.8495      0.00    -0.32       0.00    -0.04
    47  16.8495      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.23
    48  16.9224      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.18
    49  16.9915      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.13
    50  16.9917      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.07
    51  16.9918      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.24
    52  16.9919      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.10
    53  17.1579      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.00
    54  17.1580      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.07
    55  17.1581      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.19
    56  17.1581      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.06
    57  17.1772      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.11
    58  17.1772      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.11
    59  17.1772      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.02
    60  18.1515      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19AU138    quality flag:2

Type:        REMOVED  CENTAURR   REMOVED

axisobj        31.208    31.208    31.208
ecceobj         0.025     0.025     0.025
incobj         18.372    18.372    18.372
qmin           30.309    30.210    30.309
qmax           32.533    35.203    33.577
amean          31.386    32.317    31.704
amin           31.135    31.141    31.146
amax           31.639    32.930    32.092
emean           0.026     0.029     0.036
emin            0.021     0.003     0.021
emax            0.032     0.074     0.047
imean          19.946    20.501    19.907
imin           19.913    19.848    19.840
imax           19.968    20.890    19.967
excite_mean     0.342     0.352     0.343
fracstop        0.001     0.048     0.004
cjmean          2.877     2.876     2.877

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        68.0     202.5      36.0
kozaiamp         38.3     179.9      52.0