Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19CB31

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19CB31    
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:11:11 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     15 observations of     15
# Arc:   0.98y
# First observation: 2019/02/05
#  Last observation: 2020/01/30
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000006   0.025736  -0.000001  -0.001930   0.025477   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    11.65 DOF:     24 RMS:  0.16
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.40    0.28
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.544156E-05  2.580198E-02 -7.638834E-07 -1.936633E-03  2.531980E-02 -1.756069E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  4.8688E-13  1.3797E-11  2.1952E-14 -1.1016E-12  4.7014E-12  5.3883E-10
  1.3797E-11  1.2263E-09  2.5117E-12 -9.6129E-11  3.7424E-10  4.6642E-08
  2.1952E-14  2.5117E-12  1.5257E-13 -3.8937E-13  7.5097E-13  9.5353E-11
 -1.1016E-12 -9.6129E-11 -3.8937E-13  8.2816E-12 -2.9365E-11 -3.6587E-09
  4.7014E-12  3.7424E-10  7.5097E-13 -2.9365E-11  1.1531E-10  1.4259E-08
  5.3883E-10  4.6642E-08  9.5353E-11 -3.6587E-09  1.4259E-08  1.7754E-06
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    4.773353 -176.673978    0.730260    0.055926   -0.668975  2458520.059171
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2458520.5000  =  2019/02/06
Mean Anomaly:          338.51066 +/-    35.933
Argument of Peri:      156.40349 +/-    41.973
Long of Asc Node:       50.39882 +/-     0.054
Inclination:             6.29312 +/-     0.005
Eccentricity:         0.06989017 +/-    0.0197
Semi-Major Axis:     42.93036985 +/-    0.0099
Time of Perihelion: 2464653.4009 +/-   10255.1
Perihelion:          39.92995917 +/-    0.8438
Aphelion:            45.93078054 +/-    0.8438
Period (y)              281.2906 +/-      0.10
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -40.00298187 +/-    0.0167
Ecliptic Y           -1.60145875 +/-    0.0010
Ecliptic Z            3.28649015 +/-    0.0014
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00017141 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00278686 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00021047 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   40.16969313 +/-    0.0166
Geocenter to KBO     39.49478516 +/-    0.0167
# Hcoef:  8.01

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19CB31. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19CB31) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2019 02  05.55837  12 19 47.76   +03 03 29.4   24.1i 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  05.60340  12 19 47.63   +03 03 30.7   23.7i 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  05.63031  12 19 47.53   +03 03 31.0   23.9i 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  28.581121 12 18 27.06   +03 13 37.3         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 03  03.58484  12 18 14.42   +03 15 05.9   23.6z 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 03  03.58751  12 18 14.44   +03 15 05.7   23.5z 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 03  03.62510  12 18 14.26   +03 15 06.7   23.7z 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 03  03.64387  12 18 14.17   +03 15 07.4   23.8z 19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.452290 12 15 48.25   +03 30 41.0         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.47203  12 15 48.15   +03 30 41.8   25.0g 19CB31    T09  C~8HR5      
2019 04  04.474112 12 15 48.14   +03 30 41.3         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  06.309020 12 15 39.73   +03 31 31.3         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2020 01  28.555369 12 25 22.24   +02 19 16.9         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2020 01  30.609170 12 25 18.01   +02 19 55.6         19CB31    T09  C~870W      
2020 01  30.663460 12 25 17.88   +02 19 56.5         19CB31    T09  C~870W      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.14       0.00    -0.09
     2   0.0001     -2.30    -0.00       0.42     0.15
     3   0.0002     -3.80    -0.20       0.10    -0.28
     4   0.0630  -1350.75     0.10      77.32    -0.10
     5   0.0713  -1559.68    -0.27      83.41     0.28
     6   0.0713  -1559.32     0.28      83.34     0.21
     7   0.0714  -1562.19     0.09      83.19     0.01
     8   0.0714  -1563.71    -0.09      83.30     0.09
     9   0.1585  -3940.22     0.03      72.62    -0.08
    10   0.1586  -3941.91    -0.17      72.76     0.12
    11   0.1586  -3941.85     0.05      72.24    -0.40
    12   0.1636  -4077.32     0.06      68.18     0.08
    13   0.9774   5654.83     0.02    -437.48     0.01
    14   0.9830   5581.20     0.02    -427.26     0.09
    15   0.9832   5579.06    -0.04    -427.21    -0.09

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19CB31    quality flag:2

Type:      CLASSICAL  SCATNEAR CLASSICAL

axisobj        42.682    44.336    42.482
ecceobj         0.062     0.144     0.094
incobj          6.305     6.288     6.313
qmin           39.174    34.617    38.065
qmax           46.745    55.121    47.478
amean          42.850    44.528    42.654
amin           42.516    44.060    42.309
amax           43.213    45.105    43.032
emean           0.061     0.182     0.078
emin            0.042     0.129     0.051
emax            0.082     0.224     0.104
imean           4.676     6.117     4.127
imin            3.692     4.090     2.380
imax            5.780     8.001     5.626
excite_mean     0.102     0.211     0.107
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.076     3.052     3.072

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       179.9     171.7     182.3
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0