Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19CC31

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19CC31    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:55 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     21 observations of     21
# Arc:   4.87y
# First observation: 2015/03/17
#  Last observation: 2020/01/30
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000076   0.017300   0.000018  -0.005014   0.020703   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     9.22 DOF:     36 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.19    0.33
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.310556E-05  1.692814E-02 -3.728307E-06 -4.908640E-03  2.053194E-02 -5.124624E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  7.2631E-13 -3.2130E-13 -8.4125E-15  4.2648E-14 -1.5888E-13 -2.0004E-12
 -3.2130E-13  8.5924E-13  4.6554E-14 -2.3569E-13  1.0561E-12  1.1074E-11
 -8.4125E-15  4.6554E-14  6.9971E-13 -1.8723E-13  6.1374E-14  6.3573E-13
  4.2648E-14 -2.3569E-13 -1.8723E-13  1.1641E-13 -3.0995E-13 -3.2183E-12
 -1.5888E-13  1.0561E-12  6.1374E-14 -3.0995E-13  1.8306E-12  1.4609E-11
 -2.0004E-12  1.1074E-11  6.3573E-13 -3.2183E-12  1.4609E-11  1.5122E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    6.009412  179.282643    0.051494    0.103833   -0.985066  2457098.932133
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457090.5000  =  2015/03/09
Mean Anomaly:          287.89632 +/-     0.090
Argument of Peri:      263.86802 +/-     0.051
Long of Asc Node:       18.71115 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            17.18146 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.27786268 +/-    0.0006
Semi-Major Axis:     50.18177307 +/-    0.0265
Time of Perihelion: 2483096.4291 +/-      25.0
Perihelion:          36.23813087 +/-    0.0376
Aphelion:            64.12541526 +/-    0.0468
Period (y)              355.4899 +/-      0.28
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -49.42610861 +/-    0.0032
Ecliptic Y            0.67012021 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Z            5.09880401 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00057933 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00227054 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00072240 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   49.69292783 +/-    0.0032
Geocenter to KBO     48.70460213 +/-    0.0032
# Hcoef:  7.01

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19CC31. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19CC31) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 03  17.431355 12 06 57.76   +05 47 49.5         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2015 03  17.588632 12 06 57.13   +05 47 53.2         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2018 04  22.387062 12 14 08.32   +04 01 49.3         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2019 02  05.56175  12 21 56.14   +02 54 30.4   23.6i 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  05.58976  12 21 56.06   +02 54 30.7   23.7i 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  05.60340  12 21 56.02   +02 54 31.1   23.5i 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  05.63031  12 21 55.96   +02 54 31.4   23.7i 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 02  28.581121 12 20 46.32   +03 02 23.1         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2019 02  28.584496 12 20 46.32   +03 02 23.2         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2019 03  03.587501 12 20 35.45   +03 03 32.4         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2019 03  03.643764 12 20 35.24   +03 03 33.7         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      
2019 04  04.45230  12 18 29.73   +03 15 48.2   24.3g 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.47412  12 18 29.62   +03 15 48.5   24.4g 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.49512  12 18 29.55   +03 15 49.0   24.4g 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.49722  12 18 29.55   +03 15 49.4   24.3g 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  04.51607  12 18 29.46   +03 15 49.4   24.5g 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  05.53706  12 18 25.40   +03 16 11.5   24.1r 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  05.55801  12 18 25.30   +03 16 11.7   23.6r 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  05.56011  12 18 25.30   +03 16 11.9   23.4r 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2019 04  05.57896  12 18 25.24   +03 16 12.0   23.5r 19CC31    T09  C~870W      
2020 01  30.609170 12 25 23.61   +02 12 14.9         19CC31    T09  C~89Vd      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0004    -10.10     0.01      -0.37     0.04
     3   3.0991   8450.61     0.06   -3247.46    -0.14
     4   3.8908  16521.20     0.04   -4124.45     0.21
     5   3.8909  16519.97    -0.02   -4124.66    -0.03
     6   3.8910  16519.26    -0.17   -4124.54     0.08
     7   3.8910  16518.31    -0.01   -4124.62    -0.03
     8   3.9539  15366.39     0.06   -4113.90    -0.16
     9   3.9539  15366.35     0.22   -4113.81    -0.07
    10   3.9621  15188.45    -0.04   -4116.17     0.01
    11   3.9623  15185.03    -0.05   -4116.25     0.00
    12   4.0493  13158.83     0.10   -4202.01     0.10
    13   4.0494  13157.20    -0.13   -4202.40    -0.18
    14   4.0495  13156.03     0.06   -4202.36    -0.04
    15   4.0495  13155.87     0.03   -4201.99     0.33
    16   4.0495  13154.63     0.01   -4202.54    -0.12
    17   4.0523  13089.81    -0.07   -4206.81     0.19
    18   4.0524  13088.35    -0.19   -4207.23    -0.13
    19   4.0524  13088.27    -0.14   -4207.05     0.06
    20   4.0524  13087.40     0.20   -4207.32    -0.12
    21   4.8739  20423.43     0.04   -5193.81     0.01

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.