Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19CE30

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19CE30    
# Created Wed Dec 25 02:10:59 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     26 observations of     26
# Arc:  19.16y
# First observation: 2000/02/06
#  Last observation: 2019/04/05
# Chi-squared of fit:    14.29 DOF:     46 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.35    0.30
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.527359E-05  2.247448E-02  9.955953E-07  1.139017E-03  2.364671E-02  9.275775E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  7.3431E-13 -7.6293E-14  2.8746E-16 -1.9067E-15 -3.9539E-14 -8.4252E-14
 -7.6293E-14  3.1966E-13 -2.2475E-15  1.5942E-14  4.6152E-13  7.0292E-13
  2.8746E-16 -2.2475E-15  7.2896E-13 -3.8897E-14 -2.9165E-15 -5.0046E-15
 -1.9067E-15  1.5942E-14 -3.8897E-14  3.0156E-15  2.2807E-14  3.5329E-14
 -3.9539E-14  4.6152E-13 -2.9165E-15  2.2807E-14  9.1146E-13  1.0028E-12
 -8.4252E-14  7.0292E-13 -5.0046E-15  3.5329E-14  1.0028E-12  1.5580E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    2.362849  156.037202    0.318225    0.038394   -0.935747  2451580.860313
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2451580.5000  =  2000/02/06
Mean Anomaly:          102.68542 +/-     0.117
Argument of Peri:      291.50332 +/-     0.104
Long of Asc Node:      117.26526 +/-     0.002
Inclination:             3.72351 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.03810564 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     42.80447053 +/-    0.0049
Time of Perihelion: 2422403.6490 +/-      33.7
Perihelion:          41.17337887 +/-    0.0055
Aphelion:            44.43556219 +/-    0.0058
Period (y)              280.0541 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -39.33129189 +/-    0.0016
Ecliptic Y           17.83450236 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic Z            1.74354813 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00115561 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00232935 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00013630 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.22103582 +/-    0.0014
Geocenter to KBO     42.28919726 +/-    0.0017
# Hcoef:  7.88

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19CE30. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19CE30) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2000 02  06.35957  10 34 48.83   +11 29 33.7   23.5R 19CE30    695  C~83G7      
2000 02  06.50407  10 34 48.22   +11 29 37.6         19CE30    695  C~83G7      
2018 03  18.46982  11 58 43.78   +03 46 06.1   24.5i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 03  18.48687  11 58 43.72   +03 46 06.4   24.2i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 03  18.58405  11 58 43.28   +03 46 09.1   24.0i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 03  18.60008  11 58 43.22   +03 46 09.9   24.0i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 04  24.37923  11 56 14.82   +04 01 34.3   24.2z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 04  24.42024  11 56 14.67   +04 01 35.3   24.3z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 04  24.45326  11 56 14.56   +04 01 36.0   23.9z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2018 04  24.50409  11 56 14.40   +04 01 37.0   24.2z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 02  05.55162  12 06 00.28   +02 59 37.1   23.8i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 02  05.58174  12 06 00.18   +02 59 37.8   23.7i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 02  05.59538  12 06 00.16   +02 59 38.3   23.8i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 02  05.62229  12 06 00.08   +02 59 39.0   23.8i 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 03  03.51493  12 04 29.44   +03 10 49.8   23.9z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 03  03.52297  12 04 29.40   +03 10 50.2   23.7z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 03  03.57949  12 04 29.17   +03 10 51.8   23.4z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 03  03.61973  12 04 29.01   +03 10 52.8   23.9z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 03  03.63045  12 04 28.97   +03 10 53.2   23.6z 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  04.44083  12 02 13.56   +03 25 52.8   25.0g 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  04.46785  12 02 13.46   +03 25 53.3   24.8g 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  04.48884  12 02 13.36   +03 25 54.1   25.2g 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  04.49094  12 02 13.35   +03 25 54.1   25.0g 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  05.53078  12 02 09.01   +03 26 21.4   24.2r 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  05.55173  12 02 08.91   +03 26 21.9   24.8r 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      
2019 04  05.55382  12 02 08.91   +03 26 21.7   24.7r 19CE30    T09  C~83G7      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0004      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.02
     3  18.1112      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.24
     4  18.1112      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.05
     5  18.1115      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.04
     6  18.1115      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.30
     7  18.2122      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.35
     8  18.2123      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.15
     9  18.2124      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.09
    10  18.2126      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.08
    11  18.9985      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.05
    12  18.9986      0.00    -0.22       0.00    -0.03
    13  18.9986      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.17
    14  18.9987      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.27
    15  19.0696      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.08
    16  19.0696      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.09
    17  19.0697      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.09
    18  19.0698      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.05
    19  19.0699      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.04
    20  19.1570      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.03
    21  19.1570      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.18
    22  19.1571      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.07
    23  19.1571      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.01
    24  19.1599      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.03
    25  19.1600      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.01
    26  19.1600      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.27

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19CE30    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        42.792    42.792    42.792
ecceobj         0.038     0.038     0.038
incobj          3.724     3.724     3.724
qmin           39.804    39.773    39.790
qmax           46.319    46.306    46.291
amean          42.943    42.943    42.943
amin           42.611    42.612    42.618
amax           43.285    43.288    43.286
emean           0.050     0.050     0.050
emin            0.028     0.028     0.028
emax            0.070     0.070     0.070
imean           2.703     2.703     2.703
imin            1.578     1.578     1.578
imax            3.811     3.811     3.811
excite_mean     0.069     0.069     0.069
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.083     3.083     3.083

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       176.0     175.9     176.2
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0