Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19CJ30

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19CJ30    
# Created Sun Nov 24 02:10:54 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     22 observations of     22
# Arc:  17.40y
# First observation: 2003/12/23
#  Last observation: 2021/05/16
# Chi-squared of fit:    12.05 DOF:     38 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.32    0.36
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.436660E-05  2.042418E-02  7.286662E-08  3.267328E-04  2.232244E-02 -2.245459E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  4.8946E-13 -6.5356E-14  2.7395E-16 -5.5315E-16 -3.2763E-14 -1.0283E-13
 -6.5356E-14  8.9343E-14 -6.1872E-16  1.5096E-15  2.7779E-14  2.7411E-13
  2.7395E-16 -6.1872E-16  4.7416E-13 -3.1306E-14 -5.4916E-16 -1.8774E-15
 -5.5315E-16  1.5096E-15 -3.1306E-14  2.3917E-15  6.0475E-17  4.8445E-15
 -3.2763E-14  2.7779E-14 -5.4916E-16  6.0475E-17  2.5180E-13  3.7433E-14
 -1.0283E-13  2.7411E-13 -1.8774E-15  4.8445E-15  3.7433E-14  8.7421E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.646836  156.654781    0.893494    0.011689   -0.404209  2452997.016700
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2452996.5000  =  2003/12/23
Mean Anomaly:          222.42054 +/-     0.061
Argument of Peri:      200.83261 +/-     0.055
Long of Asc Node:       95.70639 +/-     0.004
Inclination:             1.88740 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.04624969 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     43.68346828 +/-    0.0037
Time of Perihelion: 2493298.3699 +/-      19.7
Perihelion:          41.66312123 +/-    0.0045
Aphelion:            45.70381533 +/-    0.0048
Period (y)              288.7247 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -41.13440646 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Y           18.72766707 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            1.28743332 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00097059 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00231763 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00003942 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.21530894 +/-    0.0009
Geocenter to KBO     44.79800739 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  7.10

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19CJ30. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19CJ30) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2003 12  23.515957 10 36 03.97   +10 35 55.4         19CJ30    T14  C~870V      
2003 12  23.568292 10 36 03.90   +10 35 55.9         19CJ30    T14  C~870V      
2003 12  23.619541 10 36 03.81   +10 35 56.4         19CJ30    T14  C~870V      
2016 12  29.348224 11 33 25.130  +04 52 12.58  21.9z 19CJ30    W84  C~8HR5      
2017 03  06.217203 11 30 15.190  +05 14 35.95  23.2r 19CJ30    W84  C~8HR5      
2018 04  12.102940 11 32 14.26   +05 02 13.5         19CJ30    W84  C~870V      
2018 04  13.100658 11 32 10.66   +05 02 35.5         19CJ30    W84  C~870W      
2018 11  19.601979 11 41 20.73   +04 00 18.4         19CJ30    T09  C~85K8      
2018 11  19.652174 11 41 20.86   +04 00 17.9         19CJ30    T09  C~85K8      
2019 02  04.57182  11 41 07.18   +04 05 10.4   24.3g 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 02  04.59524  11 41 07.11   +04 05 11.1   24.9g 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 02  04.63735  11 41 06.97   +04 05 11.9   24.7g 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 02  28.536830 11 39 39.17   +04 15 13.3         19CJ30    T09  C~85K8      
2019 03  02.44109  11 39 31.32   +04 16 05.2   23.0y 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  02.56997  11 39 30.78   +04 16 09.0   22.8y 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  02.58068  11 39 30.72   +04 16 09.5   22.8y 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  08.36650  11 39 06.47   +04 18 49.8   24.2r 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  08.37696  11 39 06.42   +04 18 50.0   23.5r 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  08.40852  11 39 06.27   +04 18 50.8   23.9r 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2019 03  08.41061  11 39 06.27   +04 18 50.8   23.7r 19CJ30    T09  C~83G8      
2021 05  13.955960 11 44 04.09   +03 46 35.5         19CJ30    W84  C~870W      
2021 05  16.965576 11 43 58.53   +03 47 04.4         19CJ30    W84  C~870W      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0001      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.02
     3   0.0003      0.00    -0.17       0.00    -0.06
     4  13.0180      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.29
     5  13.2011      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.01
     6  14.3014      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.05
     7  14.3041      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.15
     8  14.9078      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.03
     9  14.9080      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.36
    10  15.1186      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.25
    11  15.1186      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.07
    12  15.1187      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.20
    13  15.1842      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.01
    14  15.1894      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.32
    15  15.1897      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.06
    16  15.1898      0.00    -0.20       0.00     0.15
    17  15.2056      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.17
    18  15.2056      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.08
    19  15.2057      0.00    -0.19       0.00    -0.00
    20  15.2057      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.06
    21  17.3893      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.08
    22  17.3975      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.05

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19CJ30    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0