Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19CM31

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19CM31    
# Created Sun Dec 22 02:11:04 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     14 observations of     14
# Arc:   1.05y
# First observation: 2018/03/18
#  Last observation: 2019/04/05
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000009   0.021245   0.000002  -0.001256   0.022191   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.56 DOF:     22 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.32    0.25
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.519750E-05  2.113142E-02 -3.393784E-08 -1.249857E-03  2.225827E-02 -6.444748E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  7.2812E-13  1.3630E-12  1.9003E-14 -1.4325E-13  1.6363E-12  1.0013E-10
  1.3630E-12  1.1223E-11  8.9578E-14 -7.9797E-13  7.0050E-12  5.5911E-10
  1.9003E-14  8.9578E-14  2.8329E-13 -3.1565E-13  7.3366E-14  5.0302E-12
 -1.4325E-13 -7.9797E-13 -3.1565E-13  5.9682E-13 -5.7717E-13 -4.3017E-11
  1.6363E-12  7.0050E-12  7.3366E-14 -5.7717E-13  6.1779E-12  4.0370E-10
  1.0013E-10  5.5911E-10  5.0302E-12 -4.3017E-11  4.0370E-10  3.0124E-08
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    3.508929  177.635168    0.007593    0.060943   -0.992454  2458195.985663
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2458190.5000  =  2018/03/13
Mean Anomaly:          314.68259 +/-     0.486
Argument of Peri:      214.90558 +/-     0.262
Long of Asc Node:       42.88368 +/-     0.017
Inclination:             4.82828 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.32814247 +/-    0.0086
Semi-Major Axis:     54.31989919 +/-    0.3486
Time of Perihelion: 2476598.1977 +/-      87.2
Perihelion:          36.49523352 +/-    0.5210
Aphelion:            72.14456487 +/-    0.6565
Period (y)              400.3563 +/-      3.85
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -45.79922242 +/-    0.0050
Ecliptic Y            1.89176427 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z            2.74974345 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00068028 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00263377 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00020212 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.92067764 +/-    0.0050
Geocenter to KBO     44.92711333 +/-    0.0050
# Hcoef:  7.98

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19CM31. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19CM31) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2018 03  18.484862 11 56 54.68   +04 09 34.8         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2018 03  18.584036 11 56 54.27   +04 09 37.5         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2018 04  24.379218 11 54 32.39   +04 23 34.1         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2018 04  24.42024  11 54 32.23   +04 23 35.0   23.9z 19CM31    T09  C~8CPR      
2018 04  24.463945 11 54 32.11   +04 23 35.7         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2018 04  24.50409  11 54 31.96   +04 23 36.5   24.3z 19CM31    T09  C~8CPR      
2019 02  05.54825  12 03 46.99   +03 19 19.0   24.3i 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 02  05.62229  12 03 46.79   +03 19 20.2   24.3i 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 02  05.63575  12 03 46.75   +03 19 20.9   24.5i 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 03  03.57949  12 02 18.54   +03 29 42.2   24.6z 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 03  03.63045  12 02 18.34   +03 29 43.5   24.7z 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 03  03.64654  12 02 18.25   +03 29 43.7   24.4z 19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 04  04.488831 12 00 07.68   +03 43 31.9         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      
2019 04  05.551715 12 00 03.41   +03 43 57.3         19CM31    T09  C~8Aix      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.18
     2   0.0003     -6.70     0.03       0.03    -0.04
     3   0.1010  -2286.69     0.20     -77.49    -0.02
     4   0.1011  -2289.25    -0.21     -77.62     0.02
     5   0.1012  -2291.17     0.15     -77.69     0.11
     6   0.1014  -2293.55    -0.14     -77.85     0.11
     7   0.8872   6864.87    -0.06    -299.92     0.13
     8   0.8874   6861.64     0.18    -300.02    -0.12
     9   0.8875   6860.81    -0.02    -299.62     0.25
    10   0.9585   5400.44     0.01    -258.63     0.06
    11   0.9586   5397.18     0.06    -258.64     0.04
    12   0.9587   5395.86    -0.21    -259.00    -0.32
    13   1.0459   3272.14     0.03    -280.98     0.01
    14   1.0488   3203.38     0.02    -283.21    -0.04

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19CM31    quality flag:1

Type:     12:5EEEEEE  SCATNEAR   7:3EEEE

axisobj        53.624    54.523    52.818
ecceobj         0.321     0.344     0.299
incobj          4.843     4.844     4.842
qmin           35.901    35.219    36.514
qmax           73.147    75.672    70.580
amean          53.974    54.746    52.970
amin           53.321    54.011    52.296
amax           54.792    55.773    53.817
emean           0.324     0.341     0.299
emin            0.314     0.326     0.287
emax            0.335     0.357     0.311
imean           4.216     4.130     4.195
imin            3.999     3.616     3.951
imax            4.459     4.767     4.458
excite_mean     0.332     0.349     0.308
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.084     3.078     3.093

libcent 0       181.2    -180.0     180.9
libamp  0       105.7    -180.0     134.5
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       192.1     184.7     183.1
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     179.9