Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 20AV30

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 20AV30    
# Created Fri Jan 24 02:11:43 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     11 observations of     11
# Arc:  27.97d
# First observation: 2020/01/02
#  Last observation: 2020/01/30
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000000   0.018227   0.000001  -0.003476   0.019949   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     3.31 DOF:     17 RMS:  0.10
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.17    0.18
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.394090E-05  1.695880E-02 -2.061480E-06 -3.541131E-03  1.954864E-02 -2.023100E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  6.0798E-13  8.4971E-10  8.3308E-14  6.4694E-11  2.0416E-10  8.8362E-09
  8.4971E-10  1.9292E-06  1.8152E-10  1.4911E-07  4.5332E-07  1.2828E-05
  8.3308E-14  1.8152E-10  2.3125E-13  1.0953E-11  4.3325E-11  1.7638E-09
  6.4694E-11  1.4911E-07  1.0953E-11  1.1711E-08  3.4778E-08  7.7366E-07
  2.0416E-10  4.5332E-07  4.3325E-11  3.4778E-08  1.0735E-07  3.7019E-06
  8.8362E-09  1.2828E-05  1.7638E-09  7.7366E-07  3.7019E-06  6.5669E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -4.368291  161.769111    0.861315   -0.037370   -0.489385  2458851.042421
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2458850.5000  =  2020/01/02
Mean Anomaly:          293.68507 +/-    49.923
Argument of Peri:      282.09990 +/-   124.695
Long of Asc Node:      321.16107 +/-     2.190
Inclination:            12.67627 +/-     1.305
Eccentricity:         0.14064303 +/-    1.4826
Semi-Major Axis:     53.71963888 +/-   19.4302
Time of Perihelion: 2485342.0190 +/-   13825.7
Perihelion:          46.16434623 +/-   81.3781
Aphelion:            61.27493153 +/-   82.6727
Period (y)              393.7385 +/-    213.62
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -48.63864477 +/-    0.8120
Ecliptic Y           16.92053786 +/-    0.2675
Ecliptic Z           -3.89643437 +/-    0.0653
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00043049 +/-    0.0034
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00235411 +/-    0.0011
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00047316 +/-    0.0003
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   51.64498589 +/-    0.7697
Geocenter to KBO     51.15444290 +/-    0.8574
# Hcoef:  7.47

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 20AV30. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (20AV30) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2020 01  02.54162  10 46 04.98   +03 06 25.0   24.8r 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  02.55500  10 46 04.96   +03 06 25.1   24.6r 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  02.56558  10 46 04.95   +03 06 25.3   24.5r 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  03.46461  10 46 03.36   +03 06 28.3   26.1g 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  03.47507  10 46 03.35   +03 06 28.5   25.4g 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  03.49814  10 46 03.30   +03 06 28.8   25.5g 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  03.51702  10 46 03.28   +03 06 28.7   25.5g 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  30.45401  10 44 53.89   +03 10 42.4   23.6z 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  30.45669  10 44 53.88   +03 10 42.4   23.9z 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  30.49454  10 44 53.75   +03 10 43.1   23.9z 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      
2020 01  30.50811  10 44 53.70   +03 10 43.1   23.9z 20AV30    T09  C~8SiP      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.17
     2   0.0000     -0.32    -0.01      -0.02    -0.09
     3   0.0001     -0.53     0.05       0.11     0.11
     4   0.0025    -23.71    -0.03      -6.13    -0.17
     5   0.0026    -23.92     0.04      -6.00     0.03
     6   0.0026    -24.73    -0.14      -6.00     0.18
     7   0.0027    -24.97     0.13      -6.21     0.11
     8   0.0764  -1083.01     0.06    -164.45     0.03
     9   0.0764  -1083.15     0.06    -164.51    -0.02
    10   0.0765  -1085.22    -0.06    -164.59     0.10
    11   0.0766  -1085.91    -0.06    -164.88    -0.11

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

20AV30    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0