Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 21MY22

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 21MY22    
# Created Wed Mar 26 01:11:28 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     15 observations of     15
# Arc:   1.34y
# First observation: 2021/06/17
#  Last observation: 2022/10/21
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000060   0.042606  -0.000006  -0.002057   0.033700   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     0.84 DOF:     24 RMS:  0.04
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.07    0.07
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.007247E-05  4.349576E-02 -8.663971E-07 -2.158826E-03  3.426364E-02  2.574705E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.6702E-13  4.7629E-12  5.4136E-14 -7.3858E-13  2.5174E-12  2.1312E-10
  4.7629E-12  1.4938E-10  1.7201E-12 -2.3675E-11  7.0115E-11  6.7967E-09
  5.4136E-14  1.7201E-12  2.0852E-13 -4.2725E-13  8.0428E-13  7.8649E-11
 -7.3858E-13 -2.3675E-11 -4.2725E-13  4.0437E-12 -1.1058E-11 -1.0831E-09
  2.5174E-12  7.0115E-11  8.0428E-13 -1.1058E-11  3.3333E-11  3.1766E-09
  2.1312E-10  6.7967E-09  7.8649E-11 -1.0831E-09  3.1766E-09  3.1084E-07
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.028792  -73.146234    0.364827    0.016728   -0.943434  2459382.936851
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2459380.5000  =  2021/06/15
Mean Anomaly:            7.78272 +/-     2.055
Argument of Peri:      147.28406 +/-     3.548
Long of Asc Node:      125.60673 +/-     0.007
Inclination:             2.99215 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.24659343 +/-    0.0041
Semi-Major Axis:     39.79136825 +/-    0.0937
Time of Perihelion: 2457398.4686 +/-     523.4
Perihelion:          29.97907833 +/-    0.1769
Aphelion:            49.60365817 +/-    0.1999
Period (y)              251.0103 +/-      0.89
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X            8.39304231 +/-    0.0014
Ecliptic Y          -28.94094732 +/-    0.0047
Ecliptic Z            0.52406953 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00339231 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00081502 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00016897 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   30.13795348 +/-    0.0045
Geocenter to KBO     29.18545759 +/-    0.0049
# Hcoef: 10.09

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 21MY22. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (21MY22) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2021 06  17.43605  19 12 32.368  -21 21 20.60  24.9r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 06  17.50053  19 12 31.961  -21 21 21.33  24.9r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 06  17.57953  19 12 31.462  -21 21 22.20  24.9r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 07  05.35106  19 10 35.429  -21 24 55.65  24.3r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 07  05.43951  19 10 34.822  -21 24 56.78  24.3r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 07  05.52517  19 10 34.234  -21 24 57.84  24.3r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 09  06.23258  19 04 57.566  -21 36 21.40  25.2r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 09  06.31281  19 04 57.351  -21 36 21.96  25.2r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2021 09  06.39352  19 04 57.136  -21 36 22.49  25.2r 21MY22    266  C~6Ip5      
2022 10  20.21696  19 15 34.319  -21 27 52.21        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      
2022 10  20.26058  19 15 34.451  -21 27 52.08        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      
2022 10  20.29842  19 15 34.567  -21 27 51.95        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      
2022 10  21.20926  19 15 37.486  -21 27 49.45        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      
2022 10  21.25420  19 15 37.628  -21 27 49.30        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      
2022 10  21.29846  19 15 37.769  -21 27 49.14        21MY22    266  C~8ebo      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0002     -5.73     0.00      -0.02    -0.03
     3   0.0004    -12.76    -0.00      -0.02    -0.02
     4   0.0490  -1647.39     0.00     -13.70     0.02
     5   0.0493  -1655.94     0.00     -13.79     0.01
     6   0.0495  -1664.22     0.00     -13.85     0.01
     7   0.2212  -6412.11    -0.01    -146.56     0.01
     8   0.2214  -6415.16     0.00    -146.78     0.01
     9   0.2216  -6418.20     0.00    -146.97     0.01
    10   1.3409   2471.29     0.06    -709.24     0.07
    11   1.3411   2473.14     0.06    -709.35     0.06
    12   1.3412   2474.76     0.07    -709.43     0.07
    13   1.3437   2515.50    -0.06    -712.19    -0.07
    14   1.3438   2517.48    -0.06    -712.30    -0.07
    15   1.3439   2519.46    -0.06    -712.39    -0.07

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

21MY22    quality flag:1

Type:           3:2E  CENTAURR   REMOVED

axisobj        39.192    40.641    38.005
ecceobj         0.237     0.275     0.203
incobj          2.996     2.999     2.993
qmin           29.205    29.277    30.148
qmax           50.170    52.357    46.224
amean          39.455    40.827    38.135
amin           39.054    40.641    38.005
amax           39.930    40.942    38.215
emean           0.238     0.277     0.207
emin            0.219     0.273     0.203
emax            0.258     0.281     0.210
imean           3.385     1.681     1.567
imin            1.529     1.568     1.565
imax            4.548     1.794     1.569
excite_mean     0.246     0.278     0.208
fracstop        1.000     0.001     0.000
cjmean          2.982     2.975     2.992

libcent 0       180.4    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0        54.2    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        99.2     141.8     154.8
kozaiamp         51.9       1.8       0.6