Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 22LM15

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 22LM15    
# Created Tue Apr  1 01:11:29 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     18 observations of     18
# Arc:   1.27y
# First observation: 2022/06/02
#  Last observation: 2023/09/10
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000001   0.024045  -0.000001  -0.001500   0.024131   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     0.67 DOF:     30 RMS:  0.03
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.06    0.06
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.562489E-05  2.389114E-02 -9.555321E-07 -1.509235E-03  2.401394E-02 -1.239671E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.5652E-13  7.3239E-14  9.9473E-15 -3.1471E-13  8.4995E-13  1.5176E-10
  7.3239E-14  1.7158E-10 -3.4826E-12  9.7368E-11 -3.6714E-11 -4.6351E-08
  9.9473E-15 -3.4826E-12  2.0185E-13 -2.1318E-12  8.4182E-13  9.6371E-10
 -3.1471E-13  9.7368E-11 -2.1318E-12  5.6951E-11 -2.3793E-11 -2.7002E-08
  8.4995E-13 -3.6714E-11  8.4182E-13 -2.3793E-11  1.4100E-11  1.1340E-08
  1.5176E-10 -4.6351E-08  9.6371E-10 -2.7002E-08  1.1340E-08  1.2857E-05
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.123923  -72.525579    0.602415    0.015758   -0.816959  2459732.944521
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2459730.5000  =  2022/05/31
Mean Anomaly:          321.84145 +/-    47.384
Argument of Peri:      209.08956 +/-    63.535
Long of Asc Node:      123.68708 +/-     0.041
Inclination:             3.76162 +/-     0.009
Eccentricity:         0.10191686 +/-    0.1134
Semi-Major Axis:     45.94456475 +/-    0.9535
Time of Perihelion: 2471787.4942 +/-   14967.3
Perihelion:          41.26203895 +/-    5.2817
Aphelion:            50.62709056 +/-    5.3167
Period (y)              311.4293 +/-      9.70
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           12.18234164 +/-    0.0019
Ecliptic Y          -40.67520546 +/-    0.0062
Ecliptic Z            0.81684930 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00255847 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00095849 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00017492 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.46821199 +/-    0.0060
Geocenter to KBO     41.64247908 +/-    0.0065
# Hcoef:  9.11

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 22LM15. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (22LM15) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2022 06  02.44372  19 15 07.826  -21 10 59.45  25.4r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  02.53086  19 15 07.483  -21 11 00.06  25.4r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  02.61096  19 15 07.168  -21 11 00.60  25.4r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.44086  19 15 03.964  -21 11 06.26  25.2r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.52767  19 15 03.617  -21 11 06.88  25.2r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.61505  19 15 03.268  -21 11 07.48  25.2r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.45230  19 13 06.892  -21 14 40.85  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.51532  19 13 06.577  -21 14 41.43  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.57836  19 13 06.262  -21 14 42.00  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.45132  19 13 01.968  -21 14 50.03  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.51613  19 13 01.642  -21 14 50.63  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.58249  19 13 01.310  -21 14 51.22  25.3r 22LM15    266  C~6Ipa      
2023 09  09.22891  19 14 05.462  -21 19 56.11        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  09.32430  19 14 05.258  -21 19 56.66        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  09.41985  19 14 05.056  -21 19 57.19        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.22905  19 14 03.448  -21 20 01.72        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.32490  19 14 03.251  -21 20 02.26        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.42059  19 14 03.058  -21 20 02.77        22LM15    266  C~8ecH      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0002     -4.84     0.01       0.01    -0.01
     3   0.0005     -9.27     0.01       0.04    -0.01
     4   0.0027    -54.44    -0.01       0.16     0.04
     5   0.0030    -59.34    -0.02       0.17     0.04
     6   0.0032    -64.25    -0.02       0.20     0.03
     7   0.0739  -1705.55    -0.03      -5.66    -0.04
     8   0.0741  -1709.99    -0.01      -5.69    -0.05
     9   0.0743  -1714.43    -0.01      -5.70    -0.05
    10   0.0767  -1775.00     0.01      -6.17     0.02
    11   0.0769  -1779.59     0.01      -6.20     0.02
    12   0.0770  -1784.27     0.02      -6.20     0.02
    13   1.2698   -933.04     0.04    -421.33    -0.06
    14   1.2700   -935.93     0.03    -421.51    -0.06
    15   1.2703   -938.80     0.03    -421.68    -0.06
    16   1.2725   -961.66    -0.02    -423.34     0.06
    17   1.2728   -964.46    -0.04    -423.52     0.06
    18   1.2730   -967.20    -0.03    -423.69     0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

22LM15    quality flag:1

Type:      CLASSICAL    5:2EEE CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.501    55.046    45.482
ecceobj         0.097     0.468     0.097
incobj          3.767     3.737     3.766
qmin           40.598    29.026    40.581
qmax           51.200    83.731    51.163
amean          45.735    55.463    45.716
amin           45.364    54.533    45.341
amax           46.128    56.657    46.107
emean           0.097     0.467     0.097
emin            0.083     0.456     0.083
emax            0.110     0.478     0.110
imean           2.510     2.294     2.510
imin            2.021     2.154     2.020
imax            3.026     2.491     3.028
excite_mean     0.106     0.468     0.106
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.109     2.942     3.109

libcent 0      -180.0     179.3    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0     143.3    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       183.7     186.8     183.9
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0