Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 22LP15

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 22LP15    
# Created Sat Feb 22 02:11:30 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     18 observations of     18
# Arc:   1.27y
# First observation: 2022/06/02
#  Last observation: 2023/09/10
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000001   0.036678   0.000001   0.002547   0.031727   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     0.25 DOF:     30 RMS:  0.02
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.04    0.04
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.839365E-05  3.647061E-02  1.367386E-06  2.568891E-03  3.154481E-02  1.982689E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  2.5627E-13  9.8265E-13 -1.3898E-14  3.5707E-13  9.9299E-13  1.1231E-10
  9.8265E-13  7.9866E-11 -2.5542E-12  7.2750E-11  6.1919E-11  2.3217E-08
 -1.3898E-14 -2.5542E-12  2.1539E-13 -2.5620E-12 -1.9589E-12 -7.8352E-10
  3.5707E-13  7.2750E-11 -2.5620E-12  7.0368E-11  5.5746E-11  2.2388E-08
  9.9299E-13  6.1919E-11 -1.9589E-12  5.5746E-11  4.8340E-11  1.7788E-08
  1.1231E-10  2.3217E-08 -7.8352E-10  2.2388E-08  1.7788E-08  7.1479E-06
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.211774  -72.674979    0.600282    0.017044   -0.818502  2459732.944521
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2459730.5000  =  2022/05/31
Mean Anomaly:          352.98173 +/-    32.970
Argument of Peri:       25.09067 +/-    41.579
Long of Asc Node:      270.03824 +/-     0.035
Inclination:             4.21529 +/-     0.009
Eccentricity:         0.11099613 +/-    0.0096
Semi-Major Axis:     36.54779146 +/-    0.0085
Time of Perihelion: 2461303.8214 +/-    7391.2
Perihelion:          32.49112798 +/-    0.3517
Aphelion:            40.60445494 +/-    0.3517
Period (y)              220.9530 +/-      0.08
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X            9.11844732 +/-    0.0021
Ecliptic Y          -31.21806895 +/-    0.0067
Ecliptic Z            0.67052697 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00302722 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00093970 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00022316 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   32.52942540 +/-    0.0064
Geocenter to KBO     31.70093876 +/-    0.0070
# Hcoef: 10.22

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 22LP15. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (22LP15) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2022 06  02.44372  19 14 26.819  -21 06 54.35  25.5r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  02.53086  19 14 26.384  -21 06 54.88  25.5r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  02.61096  19 14 25.984  -21 06 55.34  25.5r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.44086  19 14 21.921  -21 07 00.26  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.52767  19 14 21.480  -21 07 00.80  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  03.61505  19 14 21.037  -21 07 01.32  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.45230  19 11 52.493  -21 10 21.73  25.1r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.51813  19 11 52.071  -21 10 22.32  25.1r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  29.58257  19 11 51.659  -21 10 22.88  25.1r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.45132  19 11 46.197  -21 10 30.73  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.52034  19 11 45.753  -21 10 31.35  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2022 06  30.58668  19 11 45.327  -21 10 31.93  25.2r 22LP15    266  C~6Ipa      
2023 09  09.22891  19 14 28.561  -20 56 19.24        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  09.32430  19 14 28.312  -20 56 19.74        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  09.41985  19 14 28.065  -20 56 20.22        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.22905  19 14 26.106  -20 56 24.51        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.32490  19 14 25.867  -20 56 25.00        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      
2023 09  10.42059  19 14 25.631  -20 56 25.46        22LP15    266  C~8ecH      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.02
     2   0.0002     -6.10    -0.03       0.25    -0.02
     3   0.0005    -11.72    -0.02       0.50    -0.02
     4   0.0027    -68.73     0.03       2.84     0.01
     5   0.0030    -74.92     0.02       3.08     0.01
     6   0.0032    -81.14     0.03       3.35     0.01
     7   0.0739  -2168.11    -0.04      64.07    -0.01
     8   0.0741  -2174.05    -0.04      64.21    -0.02
     9   0.0743  -2179.83    -0.03      64.36    -0.02
    10   0.0767  -2256.63     0.04      65.96     0.02
    11   0.0769  -2262.87     0.04      66.11     0.02
    12   0.0771  -2268.85     0.03      66.26     0.02
    13   1.2698    104.85     0.00     626.87    -0.00
    14   1.2700    101.33     0.01     626.82     0.01
    15   1.2703     97.84     0.01     626.78     0.00
    16   1.2725     70.07    -0.02     626.01    -0.00
    17   1.2728     66.69    -0.01     625.95    -0.00
    18   1.2730     63.35    -0.01     625.91    -0.00

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

22LP15    quality flag:1

Type:           4:3E     5:3EE  CENTAURR

axisobj        36.181    41.804    34.670
ecceobj         0.104     0.289     0.193
incobj          4.228     4.259     4.196
qmin           31.478    29.245    27.887
qmax           41.868    56.330    42.996
amean          36.478    42.326    34.945
amin           36.140    41.765    34.191
amax           36.853    43.019    35.996
emean           0.111     0.297     0.186
emin            0.086     0.285     0.173
emax            0.136     0.311     0.201
imean          10.093     6.213     6.314
imin            5.705     5.747     4.230
imax           12.264     6.788     7.536
excite_mean     0.208     0.317     0.216
fracstop        1.000     1.000     0.535
cjmean          2.976     2.961     2.967

libcent 0       178.9     180.2    -180.0
libamp  0        70.2     122.8    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       180.1     146.7     193.9
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0