The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 22LP15 # Created Sat Feb 22 02:11:30 2025 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 18 observations of 18 # Arc: 1.27y # First observation: 2022/06/02 # Last observation: 2023/09/10 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 0.000001 0.036678 0.000001 0.002547 0.031727 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 0.25 DOF: 30 RMS: 0.02 # Min/Max residuals: -0.04 0.04 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.839365E-05 3.647061E-02 1.367386E-06 2.568891E-03 3.154481E-02 1.982689E-04 # Covariance matrix: 2.5627E-13 9.8265E-13 -1.3898E-14 3.5707E-13 9.9299E-13 1.1231E-10 9.8265E-13 7.9866E-11 -2.5542E-12 7.2750E-11 6.1919E-11 2.3217E-08 -1.3898E-14 -2.5542E-12 2.1539E-13 -2.5620E-12 -1.9589E-12 -7.8352E-10 3.5707E-13 7.2750E-11 -2.5620E-12 7.0368E-11 5.5746E-11 2.2388E-08 9.9299E-13 6.1919E-11 -1.9589E-12 5.5746E-11 4.8340E-11 1.7788E-08 1.1231E-10 2.3217E-08 -7.8352E-10 2.2388E-08 1.7788E-08 7.1479E-06 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 1.211774 -72.674979 0.600282 0.017044 -0.818502 2459732.944521 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2459730.5000 = 2022/05/31 Mean Anomaly: 352.98173 +/- 32.970 Argument of Peri: 25.09067 +/- 41.579 Long of Asc Node: 270.03824 +/- 0.035 Inclination: 4.21529 +/- 0.009 Eccentricity: 0.11099613 +/- 0.0096 Semi-Major Axis: 36.54779146 +/- 0.0085 Time of Perihelion: 2461303.8214 +/- 7391.2 Perihelion: 32.49112798 +/- 0.3517 Aphelion: 40.60445494 +/- 0.3517 Period (y) 220.9530 +/- 0.08 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 9.11844732 +/- 0.0021 Ecliptic Y -31.21806895 +/- 0.0067 Ecliptic Z 0.67052697 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00302722 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00093970 +/- 0.0002 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00022316 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 32.52942540 +/- 0.0064 Geocenter to KBO 31.70093876 +/- 0.0070 # Hcoef: 10.22
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 22LP15. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (22LP15) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2022 06 02.44372 19 14 26.819 -21 06 54.35 25.5r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 02.53086 19 14 26.384 -21 06 54.88 25.5r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 02.61096 19 14 25.984 -21 06 55.34 25.5r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 03.44086 19 14 21.921 -21 07 00.26 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 03.52767 19 14 21.480 -21 07 00.80 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 03.61505 19 14 21.037 -21 07 01.32 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 29.45230 19 11 52.493 -21 10 21.73 25.1r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 29.51813 19 11 52.071 -21 10 22.32 25.1r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 29.58257 19 11 51.659 -21 10 22.88 25.1r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 30.45132 19 11 46.197 -21 10 30.73 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 30.52034 19 11 45.753 -21 10 31.35 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2022 06 30.58668 19 11 45.327 -21 10 31.93 25.2r 22LP15 266 C~6Ipa 2023 09 09.22891 19 14 28.561 -20 56 19.24 22LP15 266 C~8ecH 2023 09 09.32430 19 14 28.312 -20 56 19.74 22LP15 266 C~8ecH 2023 09 09.41985 19 14 28.065 -20 56 20.22 22LP15 266 C~8ecH 2023 09 10.22905 19 14 26.106 -20 56 24.51 22LP15 266 C~8ecH 2023 09 10.32490 19 14 25.867 -20 56 25.00 22LP15 266 C~8ecH 2023 09 10.42059 19 14 25.631 -20 56 25.46 22LP15 266 C~8ecH
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 2 0.0002 -6.10 -0.03 0.25 -0.02 3 0.0005 -11.72 -0.02 0.50 -0.02 4 0.0027 -68.73 0.03 2.84 0.01 5 0.0030 -74.92 0.02 3.08 0.01 6 0.0032 -81.14 0.03 3.35 0.01 7 0.0739 -2168.11 -0.04 64.07 -0.01 8 0.0741 -2174.05 -0.04 64.21 -0.02 9 0.0743 -2179.83 -0.03 64.36 -0.02 10 0.0767 -2256.63 0.04 65.96 0.02 11 0.0769 -2262.87 0.04 66.11 0.02 12 0.0771 -2268.85 0.03 66.26 0.02 13 1.2698 104.85 0.00 626.87 -0.00 14 1.2700 101.33 0.01 626.82 0.01 15 1.2703 97.84 0.01 626.78 0.00 16 1.2725 70.07 -0.02 626.01 -0.00 17 1.2728 66.69 -0.01 625.95 -0.00 18 1.2730 63.35 -0.01 625.91 -0.00
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
22LP15 quality flag:1 Type: 4:3E 5:3EE CENTAURR axisobj 36.181 41.804 34.670 ecceobj 0.104 0.289 0.193 incobj 4.228 4.259 4.196 qmin 31.478 29.245 27.887 qmax 41.868 56.330 42.996 amean 36.478 42.326 34.945 amin 36.140 41.765 34.191 amax 36.853 43.019 35.996 emean 0.111 0.297 0.186 emin 0.086 0.285 0.173 emax 0.136 0.311 0.201 imean 10.093 6.213 6.314 imin 5.705 5.747 4.230 imax 12.264 6.788 7.536 excite_mean 0.208 0.317 0.216 fracstop 1.000 1.000 0.535 cjmean 2.976 2.961 2.967 libcent 0 178.9 180.2 -180.0 libamp 0 70.2 122.8 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.1 146.7 193.9 kozaiamp 180.0 179.9 180.0