The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 86047 # Created Fri Nov 22 02:06:49 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 115 observations of 115 # Arc: 24.14y # First observation: 1999/07/18 # Last observation: 2023/09/06 # Chi-squared of fit: 430.49 DOF: 224 RMS: 0.34 # Min/Max residuals: -1.28 1.79 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.606319E-05 2.540003E-02 5.180954E-06 1.143461E-02 2.640911E-02 3.696456E-03 # Covariance matrix: 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 0.391221 -57.123021 0.139823 0.006618 -1.004620 2451377.935973 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2451378.5000 = 1999/07/19 Mean Anomaly: 40.09721 +/- 0.000 Argument of Peri: 306.08854 +/- 0.000 Long of Asc Node: 301.83476 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 24.21912 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.16956294 +/- 0.0000 Semi-Major Axis: 43.93244388 +/- 0.0000 Time of Perihelion: 2439532.0518 +/- 0.0 Perihelion: 36.48312937 +/- 0.0000 Aphelion: 51.38175839 +/- 0.0000 Period (y) 291.1966 +/- 0.00 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 20.99075848 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Y -32.71818673 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Z 0.25876798 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00241170 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00112290 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00118807 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 38.87354446 +/- 0.0000 Geocenter to KBO 37.86566902 +/- 0.0000 # Hcoef: 6.79
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 86047. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (86047) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
1999 07 18.43523 20 20 16.69 -19 08 06.2 22.3R 86047 568 Ca5927 1999 07 18.46258 20 20 16.54 -19 08 06.5 86047 568 Ca5927 1999 07 18.48928 20 20 16.40 -19 08 06.9 86047 568 Ca5927 1999 08 07.15658 20 18 29.82 -19 11 49.7 86047 705 Ca5927 1999 08 07.17615 20 18 29.72 -19 11 49.9 86047 705 Ca5927 1999 08 08.22280 20 18 24.15 -19 12 00.7 86047 675 Ca5927 1999 08 08.26336 20 18 23.90 -19 12 01.1 86047 675 Ca5927 1999 09 08.27272 20 16 00.90 -19 16 34.5 86047 568 Ca7327 1999 09 08.29737 20 16 00.81 -19 16 34.7 86047 568 Ca7327 2000 05 31.51662 20 28 58.29 -18 03 48.1 22.6R 86047 568 Cb6489 2000 05 31.58291 20 28 58.10 -18 03 48.3 22.7R 86047 568 Cb6489 2000 06 26.02928 20 27 23.99 -18 06 05.4 86047 950 Cb6489 2000 06 26.04596 20 27 23.93 -18 06 05.6 86047 950 Cb6489 2000 06 27.04565 20 27 19.35 -18 06 14.4 86047 950 Cb7609 2000 06 28.04620 20 27 14.72 -18 06 23.2 86047 950 Cb6489 2000 06 28.08237 20 27 14.56 -18 06 23.4 86047 950 Cb6489 2000 08 05.31385 20 23 55.37 -18 13 31.0 22.4R 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 08 05.35779 20 23 55.12 -18 13 31.5 22.2R 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 08 05.40615 20 23 54.86 -18 13 32.4 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 08 06.30446 20 23 50.12 -18 13 42.7 22.0R 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 08 06.35054 20 23 49.87 -18 13 43.4 22.2R 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 08 06.39178 20 23 49.64 -18 13 43.9 22.1R 86047 568 Cb7609 2000 09 23.23564 20 20 31.24 -18 20 31.0 86047 568 Cb9102 2000 09 23.29210 20 20 31.10 -18 20 31.1 22.2R 86047 568 Cb9102 2000 09 23.34027 20 20 30.99 -18 20 31.2 22.5R 86047 568 Cb9102 2000 09 24.22994 20 20 28.88 -18 20 33.7 22.5R 86047 568 Cc0831 2000 09 24.27922 20 20 28.77 -18 20 33.9 22.5R 86047 568 Cc0831 2000 09 24.33542 20 20 28.64 -18 20 34.0 22.6R 86047 568 Cc0831 2001 08 19.92908 20 27 55.32 -17 18 14.6 86047 493 Cd7487 2001 08 19.96368 20 27 55.14 -17 18 15.1 86047 493 Cd7487 2004 08 15.37344 20 43 24.24 -14 22 54.3 22.3R 86047 568 Cl1754 2004 08 15.43858 20 43 23.91 -14 22 55.2 22.3R 86047 568 Cl1754 2004 08 16.34715 20 43 19.37 -14 23 08.6 22.3R 86047 568 Cl1754 2006 08 02.42975 20 54 14.37 -12 23 15.3 22.0R 86047 250 S~06GV 2006 08 02.43415 20 54 14.34 -12 23 15.4 86047 250 S~06GV 2006 08 02.43855 20 54 14.32 -12 23 15.5 86047 250 S~06GV 2006 08 02.44295 20 54 14.30 -12 23 15.6 86047 250 S~06GV 2010 08 01.504890 21 12 53.656 -08 31 52.30 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2010 08 05.512762 21 12 33.873 -08 32 54.91 22.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2010 08 05.523639 21 12 33.823 -08 32 55.09 22.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 07 25.479398 21 17 57.826 -07 32 56.97 22.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 07 25.494616 21 17 57.743 -07 32 57.19 23.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 08 31.393851 21 14 59.801 -07 43 31.70 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 08 31.408801 21 14 59.724 -07 43 32.15 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 08 31.423693 21 14 59.668 -07 43 32.72 22.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2011 08 31.438600 21 14 59.590 -07 43 32.77 22.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2012 08 23.380591 21 19 59.618 -06 44 19.44 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 06 20.552955 21 28 55.632 -05 36 39.66 22.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 06 20.565991 21 28 55.579 -05 36 39.56 23.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 06 20.579066 21 28 55.521 -05 36 39.18 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 08.451457 21 25 35.448 -05 43 05.05 23.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 16.407853 21 24 56.803 -05 45 27.49 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 30.334554 21 23 50.869 -05 50 04.51 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 30.348574 21 23 50.806 -05 50 04.78 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 30.362591 21 23 50.746 -05 50 05.01 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2013 08 30.376597 21 23 50.678 -05 50 05.07 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 07 01.561247 21 32 38.093 -04 40 40.67 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 07 01.573380 21 32 38.050 -04 40 40.55 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 07 01.585489 21 32 38.012 -04 40 40.66 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 07 01.597629 21 32 37.987 -04 40 40.76 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 08 20.400891 21 28 57.935 -04 50 27.49 22.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 08 20.413672 21 28 57.846 -04 50 27.65 23.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 08 21.351940 21 28 53.396 -04 50 46.27 22.8G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 08 21.364803 21 28 53.358 -04 50 46.45 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 08 21.390571 21 28 53.197 -04 50 46.90 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 09 15.337273 21 27 02.666 -04 59 37.67 23.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 09 15.348720 21 27 02.612 -04 59 37.89 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2014 11 19.242224 21 25 29.138 -05 15 08.82 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2015 06 28.606511 21 37 01.849 -03 45 11.72 22.8G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2015 11 01.254213 21 29 30.480 -04 18 27.60 22.2G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2015 11 01.266315 21 29 30.479 -04 18 27.78 22.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2015 11 01.278388 21 29 30.466 -04 18 28.15 23.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 06 07.517398 21 41 58.479 -02 52 41.28 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 06 07.529650 21 41 58.462 -02 52 41.15 22.8G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 06 07.541922 21 41 58.444 -02 52 40.88 22.8G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 06 07.554192 21 41 58.416 -02 52 40.87 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 08 04.143003 21 38 43.02 -02 54 31.1 86047 W84 C~3oFw 2016 08 04.170828 21 38 42.88 -02 54 31.4 86047 W84 C~3oFw 2016 08 08.551976 21 38 22.172 -02 55 41.57 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2016 08 30.349190 21 36 39.234 -03 02 50.12 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 06 25.543604 21 45 28.094 -01 55 40.76 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 06 25.555624 21 45 28.049 -01 55 40.64 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 06 25.567667 21 45 28.031 -01 55 40.70 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 06 25.579716 21 45 28.002 -01 55 40.94 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 08 23.459897 21 41 24.080 -02 05 13.18 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2017 12 05.223107 21 38 25.605 -02 33 26.41 23.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.552921 21 49 40.001 -01 01 44.01 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.553568 21 49 39.984 -01 01 43.46 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.565579 21 49 39.985 -01 01 43.91 22.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.566223 21 49 39.953 -01 01 43.76 22.6G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.578213 21 49 39.915 -01 01 43.61 22.8G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.578853 21 49 39.915 -01 01 43.74 23.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.590862 21 49 39.888 -01 01 43.83 22.6G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 06 23.591500 21 49 39.877 -01 01 43.90 22.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 07 13.463527 21 48 37.057 -01 01 19.31 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 07 13.475930 21 48 37.002 -01 01 19.42 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 07 13.488281 21 48 36.965 -01 01 19.50 23.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 07 13.500704 21 48 36.927 -01 01 19.60 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 08 11.455522 21 46 31.514 -01 06 37.00 22.2G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 08 11.466620 21 46 31.469 -01 06 37.70 22.7G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 08 11.477695 21 46 31.412 -01 06 37.88 22.6G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2018 08 11.488778 21 46 31.363 -01 06 38.22 23.4G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 06 09.555289 21 54 10.396 -00 10 46.47 23.2G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 06 09.566948 21 54 10.380 -00 10 46.24 23.3G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 06 09.578645 21 54 10.358 -00 10 46.05 23.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 08 23.369150 21 49 44.481 -00 16 00.05 22.1G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 08 23.380268 21 49 44.417 -00 16 00.18 22.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 08 23.391288 21 49 44.363 -00 16 00.20 23.0G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 10 21.330205 21 46 13.721 -00 39 05.35 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 10 21.342392 21 46 13.709 -00 39 05.50 22.9G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 10 21.354591 21 46 13.676 -00 39 05.74 23.5G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2019 10 21.366765 21 46 13.606 -00 39 06.24 23.6G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2020 06 27.504607 21 57 35.668 +00 45 51.42 22.6G 86047 F51 C~41zh 2023 09 06.138160 22 04 56.067 +03 12 08.88 22.7G 86047 G37 C~7J0F 2023 09 06.222850 22 04 55.683 +03 12 06.65 86047 G37 C~7J0F
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.29 2 0.0001 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.30 3 0.0001 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.20 4 0.0540 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.16 5 0.0540 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.18 6 0.0569 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.86 7 0.0570 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.91 8 0.1419 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.04 9 0.1420 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.09 10 0.8709 0.00 0.21 0.00 0.21 11 0.8710 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14 12 0.9407 0.00 -0.36 0.00 -0.02 13 0.9408 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.07 14 0.9435 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.25 15 0.9462 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.22 16 0.9463 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.09 17 1.0510 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.17 18 1.0511 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -0.14 19 1.0513 0.00 -0.36 0.00 -0.46 20 1.0537 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.08 21 1.0538 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.23 22 1.0540 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.23 23 1.1849 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.13 24 1.1851 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.05 25 1.1852 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.01 26 1.1877 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.20 27 1.1878 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.14 28 1.1880 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.20 29 2.0903 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 30 2.0904 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.38 31 5.0785 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.21 32 5.0787 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.27 33 5.0812 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.28 34 7.0417 0.00 1.79 0.00 -1.17 35 7.0417 0.00 1.68 0.00 -1.21 36 7.0418 0.00 1.71 0.00 -1.24 37 7.0418 0.00 1.75 0.00 -1.28 38 11.0392 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.11 39 11.0502 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.09 40 11.0502 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.08 41 12.0193 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.06 42 12.0193 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.04 43 12.1204 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.20 44 12.1204 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.04 45 12.1204 0.00 0.08 0.00 -0.24 46 12.1205 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 47 13.1005 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.09 48 13.9250 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.17 49 13.9251 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.11 50 13.9251 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.23 51 14.0589 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.07 52 14.0807 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.07 53 14.1188 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.02 54 14.1189 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 55 14.1189 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.06 56 14.1189 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.29 57 14.9545 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.09 58 14.9545 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.23 59 14.9546 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.14 60 14.9546 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.05 61 15.0909 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.06 62 15.0910 0.00 -0.57 0.00 0.03 63 15.0935 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.02 64 15.0936 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.05 65 15.0936 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.12 66 15.1619 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.16 67 15.1620 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.13 68 15.3396 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 69 15.9457 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.06 70 16.2897 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.01 71 16.2897 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.03 72 16.2898 0.00 0.03 0.00 -0.26 73 16.8900 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.09 74 16.8901 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.12 75 16.8901 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.00 76 16.8901 0.00 -0.28 0.00 -0.15 77 17.0478 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.04 78 17.0479 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.16 79 17.0599 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.01 80 17.1195 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.12 81 17.9387 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.05 82 17.9387 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.12 83 17.9388 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01 84 17.9388 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.29 85 18.1000 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.18 86 18.3841 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.07 87 18.9326 0.00 0.20 0.00 -0.06 88 18.9326 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.48 89 18.9326 0.00 0.45 0.00 -0.05 90 18.9326 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.10 91 18.9326 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.17 92 18.9326 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.04 93 18.9327 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.13 94 18.9327 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.21 95 18.9871 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.07 96 18.9871 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.01 97 18.9871 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 98 18.9872 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.07 99 19.0664 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.57 100 19.0665 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.06 101 19.0665 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.07 102 19.0665 0.00 0.14 0.00 -0.08 103 19.8936 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.07 104 19.8936 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.12 105 19.8936 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.13 106 20.0984 0.00 0.11 0.00 -0.28 107 20.0984 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.18 108 20.0984 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.02 109 20.2598 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.05 110 20.2598 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.05 111 20.2599 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.06 112 20.2599 0.00 -0.58 0.00 -0.19 113 20.9447 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.05 114 24.1361 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.31 115 24.1363 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.15
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
86047 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 43.856 43.856 43.855 ecceobj 0.169 0.169 0.169 incobj 24.238 24.238 24.238 qmin 35.637 35.639 35.639 qmax 52.625 52.604 52.582 amean 43.922 43.922 43.923 amin 43.548 43.542 43.558 amax 44.359 44.362 44.342 emean 0.167 0.167 0.167 emin 0.149 0.149 0.150 emax 0.186 0.186 0.186 imean 25.819 25.819 25.819 imin 25.423 25.407 25.413 imax 26.303 26.279 26.284 excite_mean 0.467 0.467 0.467 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.828 2.828 2.828 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 185.4 185.5 185.5 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 179.9