The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 99CM153 # Created Wed Dec 25 02:07:56 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 25 observations of 25 # Arc: 16.11y # First observation: 1999/02/11 # Last observation: 2015/03/23 # Chi-squared of fit: 84.28 DOF: 44 RMS: 0.32 # Min/Max residuals: -0.65 0.79 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.745259E-05 2.517550E-02 7.742764E-07 4.823478E-05 2.475956E-02 2.666036E-03 # Covariance matrix: 3.3639E-13 -1.5260E-13 6.3867E-16 -3.0559E-16 2.0344E-13 -3.7494E-13 -1.5260E-13 9.2308E-14 -4.0045E-16 1.9291E-16 -1.2432E-13 2.3681E-13 6.3867E-16 -4.0045E-16 1.0983E-13 -9.4269E-15 7.2802E-16 -1.0615E-15 -3.0559E-16 1.9291E-16 -9.4269E-15 1.7519E-15 -2.8418E-16 5.0601E-16 2.0344E-13 -1.2432E-13 7.2802E-16 -2.8418E-16 3.9133E-13 -3.4279E-13 -3.7494E-13 2.3681E-13 -1.0615E-15 5.0601E-16 -3.4279E-13 6.2068E-13 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 0.168363 148.158082 0.097683 0.002683 -0.988700 2451220.897483 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2451220.5000 = 1999/02/11 Mean Anomaly: 43.08051 +/- 0.022 Argument of Peri: 0.68356 +/- 0.036 Long of Asc Node: 91.92227 +/- 0.025 Inclination: 0.19809 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.13877698 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 45.50579894 +/- 0.0065 Time of Perihelion: 2437802.8366 +/- 7.3 Perihelion: 39.19064164 +/- 0.0069 Aphelion: 51.82095623 +/- 0.0084 Period (y) 306.9788 +/- 0.07 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -35.09056716 +/- 0.0009 Ecliptic Y 21.91201393 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Z 0.11871270 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00172081 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00220036 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00000620 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 41.37019085 +/- 0.0008 Geocenter to KBO 40.38840383 +/- 0.0010 # Hcoef: 7.41
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 99CM153. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (99CM153) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
1999 02 11.39674 10 01 32.49 +12 16 19.3 23.3R 99CM153 568 Ca4208 1999 02 11.47426 10 01 32.12 +12 16 21.5 23.3R 99CM153 568 Ca4208 1999 03 08.42256 09 59 34.95 +12 26 52.2 23.3R 99CM153 568 Ca4208 1999 03 08.43773 09 59 34.88 +12 26 52.4 23.3R 99CM153 568 Ca4208 1999 04 09.38919 09 57 38.38 +12 37 11.8 23.6R 99CM153 568 Ca4507 1999 04 09.42758 09 57 38.28 +12 37 12.5 23.6R 99CM153 568 Ca4507 2001 02 25.44983 10 11 22.67 +11 22 44.7 22.3R 99CM153 568 Cd0744 2001 02 25.49016 10 11 22.46 +11 22 45.9 99CM153 568 Cd0744 2001 03 24.21485 10 09 26.40 +11 33 28.0 23.2R 99CM153 695 Cd0744 2001 03 24.32075 10 09 25.99 +11 33 30.1 99CM153 695 Cd0744 2002 02 04.54321 10 18 26.61 +10 43 10.3 22.8R 99CM153 568 Cf1464 2002 02 05.53510 10 18 22.20 +10 43 35.0 99CM153 568 Cf1464 2002 02 05.59774 10 18 21.87 +10 43 37.0 99CM153 568 Cf1464 2002 12 07.500843 10 26 22.17 +09 57 37.8 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2002 12 07.501673 10 26 22.17 +09 57 37.8 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2002 12 07.504160 10 26 22.17 +09 57 37.8 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2002 12 14.488327 10 26 18.73 +09 57 59.5 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2002 12 14.489156 10 26 18.73 +09 57 59.5 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2002 12 14.491644 10 26 18.73 +09 57 59.5 99CM153 645 C~1dbz 2013 03 13.34393 11 12 25.12 +05 19 11.5 23.4R 99CM153 695 C~0uco 2013 03 14.31830 11 12 20.82 +05 19 38.6 99CM153 695 C~0uco 2013 03 14.42841 11 12 20.35 +05 19 41.8 99CM153 695 C~0uco 2015 03 23.17549 11 21 33.81 +04 21 18.6 23.8R 99CM153 695 C~1Q39 2015 03 23.23942 11 21 33.53 +04 21 20.5 99CM153 695 C~1Q39 2015 03 23.29869 11 21 33.27 +04 21 22.0 99CM153 695 C~1Q39
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.33 0.00 -0.05 2 0.0002 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.16 3 0.0685 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.15 4 0.0686 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.31 5 0.1560 0.00 0.13 0.00 -0.44 6 0.1561 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.26 7 2.0398 0.00 0.46 0.00 0.64 8 2.0400 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.79 9 2.1131 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.52 10 2.1134 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.42 11 2.9819 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.53 12 2.9846 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.05 13 2.9848 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.46 14 3.8196 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.20 15 3.8196 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.20 16 3.8196 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.20 17 3.8387 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.63 18 3.8387 0.00 0.12 0.00 -0.64 19 3.8387 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.65 20 14.0834 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 21 14.0860 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.02 22 14.0863 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.17 23 16.1089 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.08 24 16.1091 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.08 25 16.1092 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.03
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
99CM153 quality flag:3 Type: CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL axisobj 45.643 45.643 45.643 ecceobj 0.141 0.141 0.141 incobj 0.199 0.199 0.199 qmin 38.272 38.276 38.263 qmax 53.595 53.589 53.658 amean 45.755 45.755 45.754 amin 45.365 45.366 45.369 amax 46.194 46.199 46.210 emean 0.145 0.145 0.145 emin 0.130 0.130 0.130 emax 0.161 0.161 0.161 imean 1.397 1.397 1.397 imin 0.591 0.591 0.592 imax 2.034 2.033 2.033 excite_mean 0.147 0.147 0.147 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.096 3.096 3.096 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 193.9 193.7 193.6 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0