Occultation event with (15977) 98MA11, event index number 1161
Regions able to see the event: US,UVa
Geocentric closest approach at 2025/07/23 06:56:45 UTC
J2000 position of star is 01:16:52.1 +14:20:32
Equinox of date position of star is 01:18:13.6 +14:28:35
Star is 77 degrees from the moon. Moon is 3% illuminated.
Stellar brightness G=15.8, apparent brightess of occulting body is G=16.0
Use an exposure time of 1.35 seconds with the standard RECON-QHY system.
SNR of 6.5 per integration for unocculted signal
Expected flux drop is 53% with SNR of 3.4 for the occulted depth (per occulted point)
Apparent velocity is 8.9 km/sec on the sky relative to the star, or, 9.1 arcsec/hr.
The recommended exposure time corresponds to 12.0 km per image.
The 1-sigma error in the time of the event is 3.9 seconds.
The 1-sigma cross-track error in the shadow position is 19.8 km.
The sky-plane scale is 3505.2 km/arcsec.
Diameter estimates:
47.9 km assuming a 5% albedo, aximum of 5.4 sec for a central chord
19.5 km assuming a 30% albedo, maximum of 2.2 sec for a central chord
Cross-track diameter of 47.9 km used for deployment plan.
Star training set for 15977_98MA11, (2025/07/23 06:57UT) Object RA Dec mag sep mel Aldebaran 04:37:23.4 +16:33:31 0.8 47.90 33 6Bet Ari 01:56:03.4 +20:55:55 2.6 11.08 67 87 Psc 01:15:29.3 +16:16:04 5.7 1.91 77 PPM 117147 01:14:51.2 +13:58:56 8.4 0.96 78 PPM 117195 01:18:54.5 +14:22:36 8.6 0.19 77 15977_98MA11 01:18:13.6 +14:28:35 16.0 77 Positions are for equinox of date
This table contains the target star visibility for registered US sites that are relevant for this occultation. This list has been filtered to only those sites that can see the field and are within range of the shadow given the uncertainties. The observing time range has been calculated to cover the time of the event at each site with allowances for the event timing uncertainty plus time for obtaining a pre and post event baseline lightcurve. This set of stations has a 83.9 % chance of getting at least one chord. There is a 37.2% chance of 2 or more chords assuming clear weather for all.
| Site Name | Site mid-time (UT) |
Sun alt (deg) |
Sky | Moon | Star alt (deg) |
Star az (deg) |
Target | Observing Time | Xtrack (km) |
Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobble | 06:48:54 | -36.7 | Dark | Down | 22.5 | 87.2 | Up | 06:48:39-06:54:39 | 23.3 | 0.430 | Hodapp | 06:48:55 | -36.7 | Dark | Down | 22.9 | 87.4 | Up | 06:46:46-06:52:46 | 8.5 | 0.654 | Naylor Obs | 06:51:16 | -25.7 | Dark | Down | 38.0 | 104.3 | Low | 06:45:55-06:51:55 | -43.2 | 0.126 | Ryan Obs | 06:51:16 | -25.8 | Dark | Down | 38.5 | 104.6 | Up | 06:48:16-06:54:16 | -84.1 | 0.001 |
This table contains the target star visibility for registered UVa sites that are relevant for this occultation. This list has been filtered to only those sites that can see the field and are within range of the shadow given the uncertainties. The observing time range has been calculated to cover the time of the event at each site with allowances for the event timing uncertainty plus time for obtaining a pre and post event baseline lightcurve. This set of stations has a 0.0 % chance of getting at least one chord. There is a 0.0% chance of 2 or more chords assuming clear weather for all.
| Site Name | Site mid-time (UT) |
Sun alt (deg) |
Sky | Moon | Star alt (deg) |
Star az (deg) |
Target | Observing Time | Xtrack (km) |
Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Star training set for 15977_98MA11, (2025/07/23 06:57UT) Object RA Dec mag sep mel Aldebaran 04:35:55.4 +16:30:29 0.8 47.90 33 6Bet Ari 01:54:38.6 +20:48:26 2.6 11.08 67 87 Psc 01:14:07.5 +16:07:59 5.7 1.91 77 PPM 117147 01:13:29.9 +13:50:50 8.4 0.96 78 PPM 117195 01:17:33.0 +14:14:33 8.6 0.19 77 15977_98MA11 01:16:52.1 +14:20:32 16.0 77 Positions are for J2000